Exeter City vs Derby: result 1-2 and analysis
League OneRegular Season - 43Kick-off on April 18, 2023 at 06:45 PM (UTC)St James Park, Exeter, Devon
Full time
What was the result of Exeter City vs Derby?
Derby won 1-2 on April 18, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 52′D. McGoldrickDerby
- 76′D. McGoldrickDerby
- 78′J. SparkesExeter City
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Exeter City have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Derby have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2023 | Plymouth(home) | 0-1 | League One |
| Apr 10, 2023 | Peterborough(away) | 1-3 | League One |
| Apr 7, 2023 | Bolton(home) | 0-1 | League One |
| Apr 1, 2023 | Fleetwood Town(away) | 2-2 | League One |
| Mar 28, 2023 | Barnsley(home) | 3-1 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2023 | Bristol Rovers(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Apr 10, 2023 | Milton Keynes Dons(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Apr 7, 2023 | Forest Green(away) | 2-0 | League One |
| Apr 1, 2023 | Ipswich(home) | 0-2 | League One |
| Mar 25, 2023 | Peterborough(away) | 0-2 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Exeter City win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Derby win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2022 | Derby 0-0 Exeter City | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Exeter City score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 1.5 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exeter City | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Derby | 1.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Exeter City | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52 | 61 | 49 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy