Chesterfield vs Exeter City: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 1, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)SMH Group Stadium, Chesterfield, Derbyshire
The Footlab AI model makes Chesterfield the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Exeter City. The most likely score is 1-1. If Chesterfield wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chesterfield vs Exeter City?
On Elo ratings, Chesterfield has 1,868 points and Exeter City 1,824.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Chesterfield vs Exeter City
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Chesterfield
4-2-3-1- 10L. Bonis
- 20G. McEachran
- 8R. Stirk
- 24D. Markanday
- 18L. Marsh
- 31J. Randall
- 6J. Simpson
- 33R. Hutton
- 19L. Gordon
- 5K. McFadzean
- 23R. Boot
Exeter City
4-2-3-1- 10J. Gordon
- 16C. Cummins
- 31J. Doyle-Hayes
- 8T. Perry
- 20George Birch
- 25A. Scully
- 5J. Fitzwater
- 3L. Woodhouse
- 2L. Samuel
- 6J. Taylor
- 1J. Bycroft
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 09:53 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chesterfield have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Exeter City have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Crawley Town(away) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Tranmere(home) | 4-2 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Cheltenham(away) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Port Vale(home) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | York(home) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Shrewsbury(away) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Oxford United(home) | 2-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Rotherham(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Bristol Rovers(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Cheltenham(away) | 2-2 | EFL Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Chesterfield wins, 1 draw, 2 Exeter City wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2024 | Exeter City 2-0 Chesterfield | FA Cup |
| Apr 17, 2018 | Exeter City 2-1 Chesterfield | League Two |
| Nov 18, 2017 | Chesterfield 1-0 Exeter City | League Two |
| Apr 18, 2014 | Chesterfield 1-1 Exeter City | League Two |
| Dec 20, 2013 | Exeter City 0-2 Chesterfield | League Two |
| Apr 27, 2013 | Chesterfield 4-0 Exeter City | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Exeter City vs Chesterfield on Nov 30, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Chesterfield score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Exeter City score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chesterfield | 1.7 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Exeter City | 0.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chesterfield sit 7th in League Two (15 points from 10 matches) and Exeter City sit 14th (12 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Chesterfield | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 15 |
| 14 | Exeter City | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
A question about Chesterfield vs Exeter City?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chesterfield vs Exeter City?
- The Footlab AI model makes Chesterfield the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Exeter City.
- Where and when is Chesterfield vs Exeter City played?
- Chesterfield vs Exeter City is played on December 1, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at SMH Group Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.