Exeter City vs Luton: result 1-3 and analysis
FA Cup1st RoundKick-off on November 5, 2016 at 03:00 PM (UTC)St James Park, Exeter, Devon
Full time
What was the result of Exeter City vs Luton?
Luton won 1-3 on November 5, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 11′D. HyltonLuton (pen.)
- 39′R. ReidExeter City
- 71′G. ReaLuton
- 86′D. HyltonLuton (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Exeter City have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Luton have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2016 | Morecambe(away) | 3-0 | League Two |
| Oct 22, 2016 | Cambridge United(home) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Oct 18, 2016 | Chelsea U23(home) | 3-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 15, 2016 | Barnet(away) | 4-1 | League Two |
| Oct 8, 2016 | Grimsby(home) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2016 | Notts County(away) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Oct 22, 2016 | Mansfield Town(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 15, 2016 | Leyton Orient(away) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Oct 8, 2016 | Crewe(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 4, 2016 | West Bromwich Albion U23(home) | 2-0 | EFL Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Exeter City win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Luton win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2016 | Luton 4-1 Exeter City | League Two |
| Dec 19, 2015 | Exeter City 2-3 Luton | League Two |
| Apr 3, 2015 | Luton 2-3 Exeter City | League Two |
| Nov 1, 2014 | Exeter City 1-1 Luton | League Two |
How many goals should we expect?
Exeter City score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Luton score 1.5 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exeter City | 1.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Luton | 1.5 | 1.0 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy