Exeter City vs Swindon Town: result 1-2 and analysis
EFL Trophy2nd RoundKick-off on October 4, 2011 at 06:15 PM (UTC)St James Park, Exeter, Devon
Full time
What was the result of Exeter City vs Swindon Town?
Swindon Town won 1-2 on October 4, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 18′J. JervisSwindon Town
- 35′J. JervisSwindon Town
- 72′D. NardielloExeter City
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 14 matches in all competitions, Exeter City have 3 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Swindon Town have 6, 0 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2011 | Oldham(home) | 2-0 | League One |
| Sep 24, 2011 | Sheffield Wednesday(away) | 0-3 | League One |
| Sep 17, 2011 | Bournemouth(home) | 0-2 | League One |
| Sep 13, 2011 | Notts County(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Sep 10, 2011 | Charlton(away) | 0-2 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2011 | Macclesfield(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Sep 24, 2011 | Barnet(home) | 4-0 | League Two |
| Sep 17, 2011 | Burton Albion(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Sep 13, 2011 | Crawley Town(away) | 3-0 | League Two |
| Sep 10, 2011 | Southend(home) | 2-0 | League Two |
How many goals should we expect?
Exeter City score 0.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 14; Swindon Town score 1.5 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exeter City | 0.7 | 1.4 | 3 | 5/14 | 4/14 |
| Swindon Town | 1.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 4/13 | 7/13 |
Over the last 14 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Exeter City sit 2nd in EFL Trophy (6 points from 3 matches) and Swindon Town sit 1st (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swindon Town | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | Exeter City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy