Gillingham vs Swindon Town: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 1, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Priestfield Stadium, Gillingham, Kent
The Footlab AI model makes Gillingham the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Swindon Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Gillingham wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,732 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gillingham vs Swindon Town?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Gillingham (1,760) and Swindon Town (1,779).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gillingham vs Swindon Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gillingham
3-4-3- 10Ronan Hale
- 24H. Waldock
- 11L. Sillah
- 16J. Brophy
- 22N. Freeman
- 14R. McKenzie
- 8A. Little
- 5A. Smith
- 26L. Dobbs
- 19O. Beckles
- 40R. Luthra
Swindon Town
4-3-3- 23A. Drinan
- 29A. Hackford
- 34B. Kirkman
- 25J. Thomson
- 27A. Munda
- 8O. Clarke
- 5S. Negru
- 6J. Ball
- 2M. Clark
- 26D. Butler
- 1C. Ripley
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 09:02 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gillingham have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Swindon Town have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Accrington ST(away) | 1-3 | League Two |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Brighton U21(home) | 4-3 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Rotherham(away) | 4-1 | League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Newport County(home) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | York(away) | 0-3 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Walsall(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Crewe(home) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Rochdale(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Accrington ST(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Newport County(home) | 0-2 | EFL Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Gillingham win, 3 draws, 2 Swindon Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | Gillingham 0-2 Swindon Town | League Two |
| Jan 1, 2026 | Swindon Town 2-0 Gillingham | League Two |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Gillingham 1-1 Swindon Town | League Two |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Swindon Town 1-1 Gillingham | League Two |
| Feb 13, 2024 | Gillingham 2-2 Swindon Town | League Two |
| Oct 24, 2023 | Swindon Town 0-1 Gillingham | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Gillingham vs Swindon Town on Mar 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gillingham score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Swindon Town score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gillingham | 1.5 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Swindon Town | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gillingham sit 6th in League Two (16 points from 11 matches) and Swindon Town sit 18th (12 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Gillingham | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 16 |
| 18 | Swindon Town | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 12 |
A question about Gillingham vs Swindon Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gillingham vs Swindon Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Gillingham the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Swindon Town.
- Where and when is Gillingham vs Swindon Town played?
- Gillingham vs Swindon Town is played on December 1, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Priestfield Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.