Fafe vs Varzim: result 1-0 and analysis
Liga 3Promotion Group - 7Kick-off on March 29, 2025 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Parque Municipal dos Desportos, Fafe
Full time
What was the result of Fafe vs Varzim?
Fafe won 1-0 on March 29, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 72′Tiago Rafael Fernandes LeiiteFafe
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fafe have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Varzim have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | Sporting CP B(away) | 0-0 | Liga 3 |
| Mar 9, 2025 | CF Os Belenenses(home) | 0-1 | Liga 3 |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Atlético CP(away) | 0-4 | Liga 3 |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Lusitânia Lourosa(home) | 1-2 | Liga 3 |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Amarante(away) | 3-1 | Liga 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | 1º Dezembro(home) | 2-0 | Liga 3 |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Sporting CP B(home) | 1-1 | Liga 3 |
| Mar 1, 2025 | CF Os Belenenses(away) | 0-0 | Liga 3 |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Atlético CP(home) | 2-1 | Liga 3 |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Lusitânia Lourosa(away) | 0-2 | Liga 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Fafe win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Varzim win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2024 | Fafe 2-0 Varzim | Liga 3 |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Varzim 0-2 Fafe | Liga 3 |
| Dec 3, 2023 | Varzim 0-1 Fafe | Liga 3 |
| Aug 20, 2023 | Fafe 0-0 Varzim | Liga 3 |
| May 6, 2023 | Varzim 1-0 Fafe | Liga 3 |
| Apr 15, 2023 | Fafe 2-2 Varzim | Liga 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Fafe score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Varzim score 1.1 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fafe | 1.3 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Varzim | 1.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fafe sit 4th in Liga 3 (5 points from 3 matches) and Varzim sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Varzim | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | Fafe | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy