Vianense vs Fafe: prediction and stats
Liga 3Regular Season - 10Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Dr. José de Matos, Viana do Castelo
The Footlab AI model makes Fafe the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Vianense. The most likely score is 1-1. If Fafe wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vianense vs Fafe?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Vianense (2,012) and Fafe (2,061).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Vianense vs Fafe
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Vianense
4-3-3- 7Moisés Conceição
- 9Pedro Soares
- 17K. Hachadi
- 10Reko Silva
- 8B. Silva
- 68D. Maga
- 12João Faria
- 3Laercio
- 19G. Faria
- 21Henrique Brito
- 13Nuno Silva
Fafe
4-3-3- 13Tiago Veiga
- 9M. Correia
- 11Picas
- 20Duarte Carvalho
- 10Daniel Carvalho
- 8Mimito Biai
- 4Leandro Teixeira
- 26João Batista
- 2Obama Ribeiro
- 6Nuno Sequeira
- 1P. Kudakovskiy
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vianense have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Fafe have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Varzim(away) | 2-1 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Pacos Ferreira(home) | 2-2 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Minas de Argozelo(home) | 8-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Aug 23, 2026 | AD Marco 09(away) | 0-2 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Trofense(home) | 2-0 | Liga 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Lajense(home) | 4-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Paredes(away) | 1-2 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Leça(away) | 3-0 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Pacos Ferreira(away) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Guimaraes B(home) | 1-1 | Liga 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Vianense win, 1 draw, 3 Fafe wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Fafe 0-0 Vianense | Liga 3 |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Vianense 0-2 Fafe | Liga 3 |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Fafe 2-0 Vianense | Liga 3 |
| Nov 18, 2023 | Vianense 0-1 Fafe | Liga 3 |
| Aug 8, 2023 | Fafe 0-1 Vianense | Liga 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Vianense score 2.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Fafe score 1.4 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vianense | 2.1 | 1.3 | 6 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| Fafe | 1.4 | 1.0 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vianense sit 5th in Liga 3 (8 points from 5 matches) and Fafe sit 4th (8 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Fafe | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 8 |
| 5 | Vianense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 8 |
A question about Vianense vs Fafe?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vianense vs Fafe?
- The Footlab AI model makes Fafe the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Vianense.
- Where and when is Vianense vs Fafe played?
- Vianense vs Fafe is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Dr. José de Matos, in the Liga 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.