Fafe vs Varzim: result 1-0 and analysis
Liga 3Regular Season - 15Kick-off on January 4, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Parque Municipal dos Desportos, Fafe
Full time
What was the result of Fafe vs Varzim?
Fafe won 1-0 on January 4, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 44′PicasFafe
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fafe have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Varzim have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | Lusitano Évora 1911(away) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Amarante(away) | 2-3 | Liga 3 |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Trofense(home) | 1-2 | Liga 3 |
| Dec 7, 2025 | AD Marco 09(away) | 1-1 | Liga 3 |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Paredes(home) | 2-1 | Liga 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | Trofense(home) | 0-1 | Liga 3 |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Paredes(away) | 0-0 | Liga 3 |
| Dec 7, 2025 | SC Braga B(home) | 3-1 | Liga 3 |
| Nov 29, 2025 | São João Ver(away) | 1-1 | Liga 3 |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Amarante(home) | 0-0 | Liga 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Fafe win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Varzim win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2025 | Varzim 1-1 Fafe | Liga 3 |
| May 17, 2025 | Varzim 5-3 Fafe | Liga 3 |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Fafe 1-0 Varzim | Liga 3 |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Fafe 2-0 Varzim | Liga 3 |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Varzim 0-2 Fafe | Liga 3 |
| Dec 3, 2023 | Varzim 0-1 Fafe | Liga 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Fafe score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Varzim score 1.3 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fafe | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Varzim | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fafe sit 4th in Liga 3 (5 points from 3 matches) and Varzim sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Varzim | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | Fafe | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy