Match

Fajr Sepasi vs Paykan: prediction and stats

Persian Gulf Pro LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 19, 2026 at 01:15 PM (UTC)Hafezieh Stadium, Shiraz

Fajr SepasiPaykan

The Footlab AI model makes Fajr Sepasi the favourite at 40%, against 32% for a draw and 28% for Paykan. The most likely score is 1-1. If Fajr Sepasi wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Fajr Sepasi vs Paykan?

A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Fajr Sepasi (1,711) and Paykan (1,673).

40%32%28%
Fajr Sepasi winDrawPaykan win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Fajr Sepasi vs Paykan

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Fajr Sepasi

4-3-3
  1. 9Mehdi Sharifi
  2. 10Y. Rostami
  3. 17H. Shahabi
  1. 6M. Rigi
  2. 4S. Mehri
  3. 66M. Motlaghzadeh
  1. 2A. Vosoughifard
  2. 5Majid Nasiri
  3. 20Sina Norouzi
  4. 11M. Moradi
  1. 1A. Gholamzadeh

Paykan

4-3-3
  1. 7H. Ahmadi
  2. 77E. Jamshidi
  3. 11F. Amiri
  1. 10R. Shekari
  2. 14F. Bagheri
  3. 8M. Najafi
  1. 6S. Mohebi
  2. 5M. Bagheri
  3. 2A. Gholami
  4. 44N. Ahmadi
  1. 1H. Pourhamidi

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 12:19 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fajr Sepasi have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Paykan have 3, 6 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Fajr Sepasi
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 13, 2026Aluminium Arak(home)2-1Persian Gulf Pro League
Oct 8, 2026Sepahan FC(away)1-6Persian Gulf Pro League
Sep 7, 2026Foolad FC(away)0-1Persian Gulf Pro League
Sep 3, 2026Mes Shahr-e Babak(home)1-1Persian Gulf Pro League
Aug 29, 2026ZOB Ahan(home)0-0Persian Gulf Pro League
Paykan
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Shams Azar Qazvin(home)1-1Persian Gulf Pro League
Sep 10, 2026Esteghlal FC(away)0-1Persian Gulf Pro League
Sep 6, 2026Sanat Naft(home)2-0Persian Gulf Pro League
Sep 2, 2026ZOB Ahan(away)0-1Persian Gulf Pro League
Aug 28, 2026Esteghlal Khuzestan(home)0-0Persian Gulf Pro League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Fajr Sepasi win, 3 draws, 1 Paykan win.

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2025Paykan 2-2 Fajr SepasiPersian Gulf Pro League
Feb 25, 2025Paykan 1-1 Fajr SepasiAzadegan League
Oct 9, 2024Fajr Sepasi 0-2 PaykanAzadegan League
Feb 28, 2022Fajr Sepasi 1-1 PaykanPersian Gulf Pro League
Nov 19, 2021Paykan 0-1 Fajr SepasiPersian Gulf Pro League

Last archived meeting: Paykan vs Fajr Sepasi on Nov 1, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Fajr Sepasi score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Paykan score 0.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Fajr Sepasi0.91.348/156/15
Paykan0.50.963/151/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Fajr Sepasi sit 8th in Persian Gulf Pro League (10 points from 8 matches) and Paykan sit 9th (9 points from 8 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Fajr Sepasi824261010
9Paykan8233679

A question about Fajr Sepasi vs Paykan?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Fajr Sepasi vs Paykan?
The Footlab AI model makes Fajr Sepasi the favourite at 40%, against 32% for a draw and 28% for Paykan.
Where and when is Fajr Sepasi vs Paykan played?
Fajr Sepasi vs Paykan is played on October 19, 2026 at 01:15 PM (UTC) at Hafezieh Stadium, in the Persian Gulf Pro League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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