Fakirerpool vs Rahmatgonj MFS: prediction and stats
Federation CupGroup StageKick-off on December 8, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC)Shahid Barkat Stadium, Gazipur
The Footlab AI model makes Rahmatgonj MFS the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Fakirerpool. The most likely score is 1-1. If Rahmatgonj MFS wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,449 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fakirerpool vs Rahmatgonj MFS?
Rahmatgonj MFS starts as the favourite with a 166-point Elo edge (1,335 vs 1,169).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Fakirerpool vs Rahmatgonj MFS
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Fakirerpool
4-3-3- 69B. Ouattara
- 98Anik Hossain Siam
- 80H. Arian
- 7Sagor Hossain
- 98M. Kahraba
- 7M. S. Islam
- 33M. Fofana
- 5R. Islam
- 2M. Shanto
- 16Y. Mia
- 1M. Sanju Ahamed
Rahmatgonj MFS
4-3-3- 8I. Munna
- 11Sakib Bepari
- 19Anik Hossain Siam
- 33Mohamed Sahariar
- 6A. Hossain
- 16Jabed Ahmed
- 2Parvej Ahmed
- 5T. Das
- 3A. Limbu
- 15A. Appau
- 1Mohammed Mamun Alif
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 05:39 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fakirerpool have 1 win, 2 draws and 12 defeats; Rahmatgonj MFS have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Brothers Union(away) | 1-4 | Federation Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bangladesh Police(away) | 0-8 | Premier League |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Mohammedan Dhaka(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Fortis(away) | 1-1 | Federation Cup |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Dhaka Wanderers(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Chattogram(home) | 1-3 | Federation Cup |
| Oct 9, 2026 | PWD Sports Club(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Arambagh(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Brothers Union(away) | 0-0 | Federation Cup |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Bangladesh Police(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Fakirerpool win, 1 draw, 4 Rahmatgonj MFS wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2026 | Fakirerpool 0-0 Rahmatgonj MFS | Federation Cup |
| Mar 13, 2026 | Rahmatgonj MFS 3-0 Fakirerpool | Premier League |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Fakirerpool 0-2 Rahmatgonj MFS | Premier League |
| May 10, 2025 | Rahmatgonj MFS 1-2 Fakirerpool | Premier League |
| Dec 28, 2024 | Fakirerpool 1-6 Rahmatgonj MFS | Premier League |
| Dec 24, 2024 | Rahmatgonj MFS 6-0 Fakirerpool | Federation Cup |
Last archived meeting: Fakirerpool vs Rahmatgonj MFS on Apr 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fakirerpool score 0.5 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Rahmatgonj MFS score 0.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fakirerpool | 0.5 | 2.7 | 1 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Rahmatgonj MFS | 0.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Fakirerpool vs Rahmatgonj MFS?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fakirerpool vs Rahmatgonj MFS?
- The Footlab AI model makes Rahmatgonj MFS the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Fakirerpool.
- Where and when is Fakirerpool vs Rahmatgonj MFS played?
- Fakirerpool vs Rahmatgonj MFS is played on December 8, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC) at Shahid Barkat Stadium, in the Federation Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 22, 2026Fortis1-1Fakirerpool
- Sep 23, 2026Brothers Union0-0Rahmatgonj MFS
- Sep 25, 2026Abahani1-1Chattogram
- Oct 6, 2026Mohammedan Dhaka3-1Arambagh
- Oct 6, 2026Bangladesh Police1-1City Club
- Oct 6, 2026Dhaka Wanderers0-5Bashundhara Kings
- Oct 13, 2026Rahmatgonj MFS1-3Chattogram
- Oct 13, 2026Brothers Union4-1Fakirerpool