Făleşti vs Floreşti: prediction and stats
Liga 1Regular Season - 6Kick-off on September 4, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Făleşti, Făleşti
The Footlab model makes Floreşti the favourite at 47%, against 22% for a draw and 31% for Făleşti. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Făleşti vs Floreşti?
Floreşti starts as the favourite with a 164-point Elo edge (1,287 vs 1,123).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Făleşti have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Floreşti have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC National Ialoveni(away) | 1-0 | Liga 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Oguzsport(away) | 0-0 | Liga 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Victoria Bardar(home) | 1-0 | Liga 1 |
| May 16, 2026 | Spartanii Selemet(away) | 0-3 | Super Liga |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Oguzsport(away) | 1-1 | Liga 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 27, 2026 | Sireți(away) | 0-1 | Super Liga |
| May 20, 2026 | Spartanii Selemet(away) | 4-1 | Super Liga |
| May 16, 2026 | FCM Ungheni(home) | 5-4 | Super Liga |
| May 9, 2026 | Politehnica UTM(home) | 1-1 | Super Liga |
| May 5, 2026 | FC Stăuceni(away) | 0-0 | Super Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Făleşti win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Floreşti win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2025 | Făleşti 2-0 Floreşti | Super Liga |
| May 3, 2025 | Floreşti 1-9 Făleşti | Super Liga |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Făleşti 1-0 Floreşti | Super Liga |
| May 6, 2023 | Făleşti 1-3 Floreşti | Super Liga |
| Apr 7, 2023 | Floreşti 7-0 Făleşti | Super Liga |
| Oct 22, 2022 | Făleşti 1-2 Floreşti | Liga 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Făleşti score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Floreşti score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Făleşti | 1.3 | 1.7 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Floreşti | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Făleşti | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Făleşti vs Floreşti?
- The Footlab model makes Floreşti the favourite at 47%, against 22% for a draw and 31% for Făleşti.
- Where and when is Făleşti vs Floreşti played?
- Făleşti vs Floreşti is played on September 4, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Făleşti, in the Liga 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.