Falkenbergs FF vs IK brage: prediction and stats
SuperettanRegular Season - 21Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Falcon Alkoholfri Arena, Falkenberg
The Footlab model makes Falkenbergs FF the favourite at 63%, against 20% for a draw and 17% for IK brage. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Falkenbergs FF vs IK brage?
Falkenbergs FF starts as the favourite with a 142-point Elo edge (1,753 vs 1,611).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Falkenbergs FF have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; IK brage have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | IFK Skövde(away) | 2-2 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Norrby IF(home) | 2-0 | Superettan |
| Aug 8, 2026 | United Nordic(home) | 1-1 | Superettan |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Varbergs BoIS FC(away) | 1-2 | Superettan |
| Jul 26, 2026 | GIF Sundsvall(away) | 2-1 | Superettan |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | United Nordic(home) | 1-2 | Superettan |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Karlberg(away) | 0-2 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Orebro SK(home) | 3-3 | Superettan |
| Aug 8, 2026 | IFK Norrkoping(away) | 0-3 | Superettan |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Landskrona BoIS(home) | 2-1 | Superettan |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Falkenbergs FF win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 IK brage win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 26, 2026 | IK brage 2-4 Falkenbergs FF | Superettan |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Falkenbergs FF 0-1 IK brage | Superettan |
| Apr 7, 2025 | IK brage 0-2 Falkenbergs FF | Superettan |
| Nov 27, 2021 | Falkenbergs FF 1-2 IK brage | Superettan |
| Apr 17, 2021 | IK brage 0-1 Falkenbergs FF | Superettan |
| Sep 28, 2018 | Falkenbergs FF 3-2 IK brage | Superettan |
Last archived meeting: IK brage vs Falkenbergs FF on Jun 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Falkenbergs FF score 2.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; IK brage score 1.5 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Falkenbergs FF | 2.4 | 1.5 | 2 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
| IK brage | 1.5 | 2.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Falkenbergs FF sit 2nd in Superettan (35 points from 19 matches) and IK brage sit 13th (21 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Falkenbergs FF | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 27 | 35 |
| 13 | IK brage | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 34 | 38 | 21 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Falkenbergs FF vs IK brage?
- The Footlab model makes Falkenbergs FF the favourite at 63%, against 20% for a draw and 17% for IK brage.
- Where and when is Falkenbergs FF vs IK brage played?
- Falkenbergs FF vs IK brage is played on August 29, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Falcon Alkoholfri Arena, in the Superettan.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.