Ljungskile SK vs IFK Varnamo: prediction and stats
SuperettanRegular Season - 21Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Uddevalla Arena, Ljungskile
The Footlab model makes Ljungskile SK the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for IFK Varnamo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ljungskile SK vs IFK Varnamo?
A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate Ljungskile SK (1,704) and IFK Varnamo (1,605).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ljungskile SK have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; IFK Varnamo have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Ostersunds FK(away) | 0-0 | Superettan |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Franke(away) | 1-0 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Osters IF(home) | 2-3 | Superettan |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Oddevold(home) | 0-1 | Superettan |
| Aug 2, 2026 | United Nordic(away) | 2-2 | Superettan |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Landskrona BoIS(home) | 1-1 | Superettan |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Växjö Norra(away) | 3-1 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ostersunds FK(home) | 1-1 | Superettan |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Helsingborg(away) | 2-1 | Superettan |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Orebro SK(away) | 3-1 | Superettan |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 5 Ljungskile SK win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 IFK Varnamo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 2026 | IFK Varnamo 2-3 Ljungskile SK | Superettan |
| Sep 29, 2019 | Ljungskile SK 3-0 IFK Varnamo | Ettan - Södra |
| Jun 2, 2019 | IFK Varnamo 0-2 Ljungskile SK | Ettan - Södra |
| Oct 2, 2016 | Ljungskile SK 2-0 IFK Varnamo | Superettan |
| Apr 10, 2016 | IFK Varnamo 0-2 Ljungskile SK | Superettan |
Last archived meeting: IFK Varnamo vs Ljungskile SK on Jul 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ljungskile SK score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; IFK Varnamo score 1.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ljungskile SK | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| IFK Varnamo | 1.1 | 1.8 | 1 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ljungskile SK sit 11th in Superettan (24 points from 20 matches) and IFK Varnamo sit 15th (19 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Ljungskile SK | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 27 | 27 | 24 |
| 15 | IFK Varnamo | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 24 | 38 | 19 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ljungskile SK vs IFK Varnamo?
- The Footlab model makes Ljungskile SK the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for IFK Varnamo.
- Where and when is Ljungskile SK vs IFK Varnamo played?
- Ljungskile SK vs IFK Varnamo is played on August 29, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Uddevalla Arena, in the Superettan.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.