FAP vs Tonnerre: prediction and stats
Elite TwoRegular Season - 10Kick-off on January 2, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes FAP the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Tonnerre. The most likely score is 1-1. If FAP wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,555 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FAP vs Tonnerre?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate FAP (1,518) and Tonnerre (1,554).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for FAP vs Tonnerre
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
FAP
Not enough data to predict the FAP lineup.
Tonnerre
Not enough data to predict the Tonnerre lineup.
Computed on October 25, 2026 at 11:50 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FAP have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Tonnerre have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 21, 2026 | Bamboutos(home) | 0-0 | Elite Two |
| Jun 18, 2026 | Foncha ST(away) | 4-1 | Elite Two |
| Jun 16, 2026 | Union Douala(home) | 0-0 | Elite Two |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Tonnerre(away) | 0-1 | Elite Two |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Sable(home) | 1-1 | Elite Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Sable(home) | 2-0 | Elite Two |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Sable(away) | 2-2 | Elite Two |
| Jun 18, 2026 | Yafoot(home) | 1-1 | Elite Two |
| Jun 16, 2026 | Bafmeng United(away) | 0-0 | Elite Two |
| Jun 13, 2026 | FAP(home) | 1-0 | Elite Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 FAP wins, 1 draw, 2 Tonnerre wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 2026 | Tonnerre 1-0 FAP | Elite Two |
| Mar 22, 2025 | FAP 1-1 Tonnerre | Elite Two |
| Jan 4, 2025 | Tonnerre 1-0 FAP | Elite Two |
| Apr 12, 2023 | Tonnerre 0-2 FAP | Elite Two |
| Jan 18, 2023 | FAP 3-0 Tonnerre | Elite Two |
How many goals should we expect?
FAP score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Tonnerre score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FAP | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Tonnerre | 1.3 | 1.1 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FAP sit 1st in Elite Two (3 points from 1 match) and Tonnerre sit 7th (0 points from 1 match).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2026 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FAP | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Tonnerre | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
A question about FAP vs Tonnerre?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FAP vs Tonnerre?
- The Footlab AI model makes FAP the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Tonnerre.
- Where and when is FAP vs Tonnerre played?
- FAP vs Tonnerre is played on January 2, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the Elite Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.