Farense vs Vizela: prediction and stats
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 30Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio de São Lúis, Faro
The Footlab model makes Farense the favourite at 47%, against 30% for a draw and 23% for Vizela. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Farense vs Vizela?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Farense (1,946) and Vizela (1,899).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Farense have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Vizela have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | FC Porto B(away) | 3-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Torreense(home) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Fulham(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Benfica B(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 30, 2026 | CF Os Belenenses(away) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Amarante(home) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Portimonense(away) | 0-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | União de Leiria(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Celta de Vigo II(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Leixoes(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Farense win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Vizela win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Vizela 0-2 Farense | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 8, 2025 | Farense 2-0 Vizela | Segunda Liga |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Vizela 2-1 Farense | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Farense 0-0 Vizela | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Farense score 1.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Vizela score 0.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Farense | 1.1 | 0.7 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Vizela | 0.7 | 1.2 | 7 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Farense sit 5th in Segunda Liga (6 points from 2 matches) and Vizela sit 8th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Farense | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 8 | Vizela | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Farense vs Vizela?
- The Footlab model makes Farense the favourite at 47%, against 30% for a draw and 23% for Vizela.
- Where and when is Farense vs Vizela played?
- Farense vs Vizela is played on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio de São Lúis, in the Segunda Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.