Farroupilha vs Cruz A.: prediction and stats
Gaúcho - 3Regular Season - 4Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estádio General Nicolau Fico, Pelotas, Rio Grande do Sul
The Footlab model makes Farroupilha the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Cruz A.. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Farroupilha vs Cruz A.?
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 12 matches in all competitions, Farroupilha have 3 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Cruz A. have 0, 0 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 17, 2026 | Bagé(home) | 1-2 | Copa Gaúcha |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Brasil DE Pelotas(away) | 0-4 | Copa Gaúcha |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Guarany de Bagé(home) | 1-1 | Copa Gaúcha |
| May 27, 2026 | Guarany de Bagé(away) | 0-0 | Copa Gaúcha |
| May 21, 2026 | Brasil DE Pelotas(home) | 0-1 | Copa Gaúcha |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Farroupilha vs Cruz A.?
- The Footlab model makes Farroupilha the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Cruz A..
- Where and when is Farroupilha vs Cruz A. played?
- Farroupilha vs Cruz A. is played on September 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio General Nicolau Fico, in the Gaúcho - 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.