FBC Riograndense RS vs SC Rio Grande: prediction and stats
Gaúcho - 3Regular Season - 4Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes FBC Riograndense RS the favourite at 62%, against 24% for a draw and 14% for SC Rio Grande. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FBC Riograndense RS vs SC Rio Grande?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate FBC Riograndense RS (1,608) and SC Rio Grande (1,546).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 14 matches in all competitions, FBC Riograndense RS have 5 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; SC Rio Grande have 4, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2025 | SC Rio Grande(away) | 1-2 | Gaúcho - 3 |
| Nov 8, 2025 | São Gabriel(home) | 8-0 | Gaúcho - 3 |
| Oct 26, 2025 | São Paulo RS(home) | 0-1 | Gaúcho - 3 |
| Oct 19, 2025 | São Paulo RS(away) | 0-0 | Gaúcho - 3 |
| Oct 12, 2025 | São Gabriel(away) | 0-0 | Gaúcho - 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2025 | Guarani RS(away) | 0-4 | Gaúcho - 3 |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Guarani RS(home) | 0-2 | Gaúcho - 3 |
| Nov 16, 2025 | FBC Riograndense RS(home) | 2-1 | Gaúcho - 3 |
| Nov 9, 2025 | São Paulo RS(away) | 0-1 | Gaúcho - 3 |
| Oct 25, 2025 | São Gabriel(home) | 3-1 | Gaúcho - 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 FBC Riograndense RS win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 SC Rio Grande win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2025 | SC Rio Grande 2-1 FBC Riograndense RS | Gaúcho - 3 |
| Sep 28, 2025 | FBC Riograndense RS 2-0 SC Rio Grande | Gaúcho - 3 |
| Oct 19, 2024 | FBC Riograndense RS 1-1 SC Rio Grande | Gaúcho - 3 |
| Oct 2, 2024 | SC Rio Grande 2-1 FBC Riograndense RS | Gaúcho - 3 |
Last archived meeting: SC Rio Grande vs FBC Riograndense RS on Nov 16, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
FBC Riograndense RS score 1.4 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 14; SC Rio Grande score 0.8 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FBC Riograndense RS | 1.4 | 0.6 | 7 | 4/14 | 4/14 |
| SC Rio Grande | 0.8 | 1.6 | 1 | 6/14 | 7/14 |
Over the last 14 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FBC Riograndense RS vs SC Rio Grande?
- The Footlab model makes FBC Riograndense RS the favourite at 62%, against 24% for a draw and 14% for SC Rio Grande.
- Where and when is FBC Riograndense RS vs SC Rio Grande played?
- FBC Riograndense RS vs SC Rio Grande is played on September 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC), in the Gaúcho - 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.