Farul Constanta vs Petrolul Ploiesti: prediction and stats
Liga IRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Central, Ovidiu
The Footlab model makes Farul Constanta the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Petrolul Ploiesti. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Farul Constanta vs Petrolul Ploiesti?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Farul Constanta (1,692) and Petrolul Ploiesti (1,679).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Farul Constanta have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Petrolul Ploiesti have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe(away) | 1-1 | Liga I |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Bihor Oradea(away) | 0-1 | Cupa României |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Arges Pitesti(away) | 1-1 | Liga I |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Csikszereda(home) | 3-2 | Liga I |
| Aug 3, 2026 | FCSB(away) | 2-2 | Liga I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Rapid(home) | 0-2 | Liga I |
| Aug 18, 2026 | CSM Reşiţa(away) | 3-2 | Cupa României |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FC Voluntari(away) | 2-1 | Liga I |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Oţelul(home) | 1-0 | Liga I |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Universitatea Craiova(away) | 0-4 | Liga I |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Farul Constanta win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Petrolul Ploiesti win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Farul Constanta 2-0 Petrolul Ploiesti | Liga I |
| Jan 25, 2026 | Petrolul Ploiesti 0-1 Farul Constanta | Liga I |
| Sep 1, 2025 | Farul Constanta 2-1 Petrolul Ploiesti | Liga I |
| Apr 28, 2025 | Petrolul Ploiesti 0-1 Farul Constanta | Liga I |
| Feb 3, 2025 | Farul Constanta 2-1 Petrolul Ploiesti | Liga I |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Petrolul Ploiesti 1-1 Farul Constanta | Liga I |
Last archived meeting: Farul Constanta vs Petrolul Ploiesti on Mar 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Farul Constanta score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Petrolul Ploiesti score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Farul Constanta | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Petrolul Ploiesti | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Farul Constanta sit 6th in Liga I (9 points from 6 matches) and Petrolul Ploiesti sit 8th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Farul Constanta | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 9 |
| 8 | Petrolul Ploiesti | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Farul Constanta vs Petrolul Ploiesti?
- The Footlab model makes Farul Constanta the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Petrolul Ploiesti.
- Where and when is Farul Constanta vs Petrolul Ploiesti played?
- Farul Constanta vs Petrolul Ploiesti is played on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Central, in the Liga I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.