Where and when is FCSB vs Oţelul played?

FCSB vs Oţelul is played on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Arena Naţională, in the Liga I.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

FCSB vs Oţelul: prediction and stats

Liga IRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Arena Naţională, Bucureşti

FCSB

Oţelul

The Footlab model makes FCSB the favourite at 68%, against 19% for a draw and 13% for Oţelul. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FCSB vs Oţelul?

A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate FCSB (1,796) and Oţelul (1,702).

FCSB win68 %

Draw19 %

Oţelul win13 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FCSB have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Oţelul have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FCSB
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	CFR 1907 Cluj(away)	0-1	Liga I
Aug 17, 2026	FC Botosani(home)	3-2	Liga I
Aug 10, 2026	Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe(away)	0-0	Liga I
Aug 3, 2026	Farul Constanta(home)	2-2	Liga I
Jul 30, 2026	Auda(away)	1-4	UEFA Europa Conference League

Oţelul
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 19, 2026	Concordia(away)	1-5	Cupa României
Aug 16, 2026	Universitatea Craiova(home)	1-1	Liga I
Aug 9, 2026	Petrolul Ploiesti(away)	0-1	Liga I
Jul 31, 2026	Dinamo Bucuresti(home)	1-1	Liga I
Jul 24, 2026	Uta Arad(away)	2-2	Liga I

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 FCSB win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Oţelul win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 11, 2026	FCSB 4-0 Oţelul	Liga I
Feb 8, 2026	Oţelul 1-4 FCSB	Liga I
Sep 28, 2025	FCSB 1-0 Oţelul	Liga I
Dec 2, 2024	Oţelul 1-4 FCSB	Liga I
Jul 26, 2024	FCSB 0-2 Oţelul	Liga I
Dec 3, 2023	FCSB 0-2 Oţelul	Liga I

Last archived meeting: FCSB vs Oţelul on Apr 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FCSB score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Oţelul score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
FCSB	1.6	1.5	4	8/15	8/15
Oţelul	1.5	1.5	3	10/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FCSB sit 3rd in Liga I (11 points from 6 matches) and Oţelul sit 11th (6 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	FCSB	6	3	2	1	9	5	11
11	Oţelul	5	1	3	1	6	6	6

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FCSB vs Oţelul?: The Footlab model makes FCSB the favourite at 68%, against 19% for a draw and 13% for Oţelul.
Where and when is FCSB vs Oţelul played?: FCSB vs Oţelul is played on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Arena Naţională, in the Liga I.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.