Match

FCSB vs Oţelul: prediction and stats

Liga IRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Arena Naţională, Bucureşti

FCSBOţelul

The Footlab AI model makes FCSB the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 16% for Oţelul. The most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FCSB vs Oţelul?

On Elo ratings, FCSB has 1,872 points and Oţelul 1,782.

64%20%16%
FCSB winDrawOţelul win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for FCSB vs Oţelul

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

FCSB

4-2-3-1
  1. 14A. Garita
  1. 31J. Cisotti
  2. 7M. Korenica
  3. 15O. Arad
  4. 73K. Muhar
  5. 11D. Miculescu
  1. 4Ricardo Padurariu
  2. 5J. Dawa
  3. 21D. Batubinsika
  4. 97R. Labonne
  1. 32Ș. Târnovanu

Oţelul

4-2-3-1
  1. 9Patrick
  1. 27Pedro Nuno
  2. 10Andrézinho
  3. 39T. Lungu
  4. 17A. Ciobanu
  5. 24D. Bordun
  1. 6P. Iacob
  2. 3G. Christopoulos
  3. 28Miguel Silva
  4. 2M. Zhelev
  1. 1C. Dur-Bozoancă

Computed on October 8, 2026 at 01:27 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FCSB have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Oţelul have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FCSB
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 19, 2026Universitatea Craiova(away)0-5Liga I
Sep 14, 2026Petrolul Ploiesti(home)2-2Liga I
Sep 5, 2026Dinamo Bucuresti(away)1-2Liga I
Sep 2, 2026Arges Pitesti(away)5-0Cupa României
Aug 30, 2026Uta Arad(home)1-3Liga I
Oţelul
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 3, 2026FC Bacau(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Sep 21, 2026Corvinul Hunedoara(home)2-3Liga I
Sep 14, 2026Universitatea Cluj(away)0-3Liga I
Sep 6, 2026Rapid(home)0-1Liga I
Aug 28, 2026FC Voluntari(away)2-2Liga I

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 FCSB wins, 0 draws, 2 Oţelul wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 11, 2026FCSB 4-0 OţelulLiga I
Feb 8, 2026Oţelul 1-4 FCSBLiga I
Sep 28, 2025FCSB 1-0 OţelulLiga I
Dec 2, 2024Oţelul 1-4 FCSBLiga I
Jul 26, 2024FCSB 0-2 OţelulLiga I
Dec 3, 2023FCSB 0-2 OţelulLiga I

Last archived meeting: FCSB vs Oţelul on Apr 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FCSB score 1.8 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Oţelul score 1.4 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FCSB1.81.949/1511/15
Oţelul1.41.6210/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FCSB sit 11th in Liga I (12 points from 10 matches) and Oţelul sit 14th (10 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11FCSB10334131712
14Oţelul10244111510

A question about FCSB vs Oţelul?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FCSB vs Oţelul?
The Footlab AI model makes FCSB the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 16% for Oţelul.
Where and when is FCSB vs Oţelul played?
FCSB vs Oţelul is played on October 10, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Arena Naţională, in the Liga I.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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