Dinamo Bucuresti vs Petrolul Ploiesti: prediction and stats
Liga IRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Arcul de Triumf, București
The Footlab model makes Dinamo Bucuresti the favourite at 66%, against 21% for a draw and 13% for Petrolul Ploiesti. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dinamo Bucuresti vs Petrolul Ploiesti?
Dinamo Bucuresti starts as the favourite with a 149-point Elo edge (1,830 vs 1,681).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dinamo Bucuresti have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Petrolul Ploiesti have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Universitatea Cluj(home) | 2-1 | Liga I |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rapid(away) | 1-0 | Liga I |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Voluntari(home) | 4-0 | Liga I |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Oţelul(away) | 1-1 | Liga I |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Universitatea Craiova(home) | 5-1 | Liga I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Rapid(home) | 0-2 | Liga I |
| Aug 18, 2026 | CSM Reşiţa(away) | 3-2 | Cupa României |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FC Voluntari(away) | 2-1 | Liga I |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Oţelul(home) | 1-0 | Liga I |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Universitatea Craiova(away) | 0-4 | Liga I |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Dinamo Bucuresti win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Petrolul Ploiesti win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 2026 | Petrolul Ploiesti 1-0 Dinamo Bucuresti | Liga I |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Dinamo Bucuresti 1-1 Petrolul Ploiesti | Liga I |
| Sep 15, 2025 | Petrolul Ploiesti 0-3 Dinamo Bucuresti | Liga I |
| Dec 18, 2024 | Dinamo Bucuresti 0-0 Petrolul Ploiesti | Cupa României |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Petrolul Ploiesti 0-1 Dinamo Bucuresti | Liga I |
| Jul 21, 2024 | Dinamo Bucuresti 4-1 Petrolul Ploiesti | Liga I |
Last archived meeting: Petrolul Ploiesti vs Dinamo Bucuresti on Jul 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dinamo Bucuresti score 1.6 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Petrolul Ploiesti score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Bucuresti | 1.6 | 1.0 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Petrolul Ploiesti | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dinamo Bucuresti sit 1st in Liga I (13 points from 6 matches) and Petrolul Ploiesti sit 10th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Bucuresti | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 13 |
| 10 | Petrolul Ploiesti | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dinamo Bucuresti vs Petrolul Ploiesti?
- The Footlab model makes Dinamo Bucuresti the favourite at 66%, against 21% for a draw and 13% for Petrolul Ploiesti.
- Where and when is Dinamo Bucuresti vs Petrolul Ploiesti played?
- Dinamo Bucuresti vs Petrolul Ploiesti is played on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Arcul de Triumf, in the Liga I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.