Farul Constanta vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe: prediction and stats
Liga IRegular Season - 21Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Central, Ovidiu
The Footlab model makes Farul Constanta the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Farul Constanta vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe?
A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate Farul Constanta (1,694) and Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe (1,766).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Farul Constanta have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe(away) | 1-1 | Liga I |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Bihor Oradea(away) | 0-1 | Cupa României |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Arges Pitesti(away) | 1-1 | Liga I |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Csikszereda(home) | 3-2 | Liga I |
| Aug 3, 2026 | FCSB(away) | 2-2 | Liga I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Farul Constanta(home) | 1-1 | Liga I |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Slatina(away) | 2-0 | Cupa României |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Csikszereda(away) | 0-0 | Liga I |
| Aug 10, 2026 | FCSB(home) | 0-0 | Liga I |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Corvinul Hunedoara(away) | 1-1 | Liga I |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Farul Constanta win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 1-1 Farul Constanta | Liga I |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 1-4 Farul Constanta | Liga I |
| Feb 6, 2025 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 1-0 Farul Constanta | Liga I |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Farul Constanta 2-1 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | Liga I |
| May 3, 2024 | Farul Constanta 1-4 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | Liga I |
| Apr 5, 2024 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 1-1 Farul Constanta | Liga I |
Last archived meeting: Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs Farul Constanta on Aug 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Farul Constanta score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe score 1.1 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Farul Constanta | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | 1.1 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Farul Constanta sit 7th in Liga I (9 points from 6 matches) and Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe sit 11th (7 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Farul Constanta | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 9 |
| 11 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Farul Constanta vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe?
- The Footlab model makes Farul Constanta the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe.
- Where and when is Farul Constanta vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe played?
- Farul Constanta vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe is played on January 16, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Central, in the Liga I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.