Arges Pitesti vs Oţelul: prediction and stats
Liga IRegular Season - 21Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Orăşenesc, Mioveni
The Footlab model makes Arges Pitesti the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Oţelul. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arges Pitesti vs Oţelul?
A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Arges Pitesti (1,768) and Oţelul (1,702).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arges Pitesti have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Oţelul have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Oţelul(away) | 0-1 | Liga I |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Farul Constanta(home) | 1-1 | Liga I |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Universitatea Craiova(away) | 1-0 | Liga I |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Csikszereda(home) | 1-0 | Liga I |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Petrolul Ploiesti(home) | 1-0 | Liga I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Arges Pitesti(home) | 1-0 | Liga I |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Concordia(away) | 1-5 | Cupa României |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Universitatea Craiova(home) | 1-1 | Liga I |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Petrolul Ploiesti(away) | 0-1 | Liga I |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Dinamo Bucuresti(home) | 1-1 | Liga I |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Arges Pitesti win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Oţelul win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Oţelul 1-0 Arges Pitesti | Liga I |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Oţelul 2-1 Arges Pitesti | Liga I |
| Aug 18, 2025 | Arges Pitesti 2-0 Oţelul | Liga I |
Last archived meeting: Oţelul vs Arges Pitesti on Aug 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Arges Pitesti score 0.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Oţelul score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arges Pitesti | 0.7 | 0.9 | 4 | 6/15 | 2/15 |
| Oţelul | 1.5 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arges Pitesti sit 5th in Liga I (10 points from 6 matches) and Oţelul sit 9th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Arges Pitesti | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 |
| 9 | Oţelul | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arges Pitesti vs Oţelul?
- The Footlab model makes Arges Pitesti the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Oţelul.
- Where and when is Arges Pitesti vs Oţelul played?
- Arges Pitesti vs Oţelul is played on January 16, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Orăşenesc, in the Liga I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.