Arges Pitesti vs Oţelul: prediction and stats
Liga IRegular Season - 21Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Orăşenesc, Mioveni
The Footlab AI model makes Arges Pitesti the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Oţelul. The most likely score is 1-1. If Arges Pitesti wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,446 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arges Pitesti vs Oţelul?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Arges Pitesti (1,798) and Oţelul (1,780).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Arges Pitesti vs Oţelul
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Arges Pitesti
4-4-2- 92T. Luvambo
- 17Ricardo Matos
- 22V. Raţă
- 11Y. Pîrvu
- 25Tiago Gonçalves
- 16I. Rădescu
- 23F. Borţa
- 26D. Oancea
- 2A. Tofan
- 15Guilherme Garutti
- 77I. Nikić
Oţelul
4-3-3- 9Patrick
- 24D. Bordun
- 10Andrézinho
- 27Pedro Nuno
- 17A. Ciobanu
- 8Rafael Brito
- 6P. Iacob
- 3G. Christopoulos
- 28Miguel Silva
- 2M. Zhelev
- 1C. Dur-Bozoancă
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 05:14 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arges Pitesti have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Oţelul have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | CFR 1907 Cluj(home) | 0-1 | Liga I |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Slatina(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Cetate Deva(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Rapid(away) | 1-3 | Liga I |
| Sep 13, 2026 | FC Botosani(home) | 1-1 | Liga I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | FCSB(away) | 0-1 | Liga I |
| Oct 3, 2026 | FC Bacau(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Corvinul Hunedoara(home) | 2-3 | Liga I |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Universitatea Cluj(away) | 0-3 | Liga I |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Rapid(home) | 0-1 | Liga I |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Arges Pitesti win, 0 draws, 2 Oţelul wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Oţelul 1-0 Arges Pitesti | Liga I |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Oţelul 2-1 Arges Pitesti | Liga I |
| Aug 18, 2025 | Arges Pitesti 2-0 Oţelul | Liga I |
Last archived meeting: Oţelul vs Arges Pitesti on Aug 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Arges Pitesti score 0.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Oţelul score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arges Pitesti | 0.6 | 1.2 | 4 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
| Oţelul | 1.2 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arges Pitesti sit 13th in Liga I (11 points from 11 matches) and Oţelul sit 14th (10 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Arges Pitesti | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 11 |
| 14 | Oţelul | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 10 |
A question about Arges Pitesti vs Oţelul?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arges Pitesti vs Oţelul?
- The Footlab AI model makes Arges Pitesti the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Oţelul.
- Where and when is Arges Pitesti vs Oţelul played?
- Arges Pitesti vs Oţelul is played on January 16, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Orăşenesc, in the Liga I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.