Farul Constanta vs Universitatea Craiova: prediction and stats
Liga IRegular Season - 27Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Central, Ovidiu
The Footlab model makes Universitatea Craiova the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Farul Constanta. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Farul Constanta vs Universitatea Craiova?
Universitatea Craiova starts as the favourite with a 221-point Elo edge (1,914 vs 1,694).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Farul Constanta have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Universitatea Craiova have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe(away) | 1-1 | Liga I |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Bihor Oradea(away) | 0-1 | Cupa României |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Arges Pitesti(away) | 1-1 | Liga I |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Csikszereda(home) | 3-2 | Liga I |
| Aug 3, 2026 | FCSB(away) | 2-2 | Liga I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FC Voluntari(home) | 3-1 | Liga I |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Ararat-Armenia(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Oţelul(away) | 1-1 | Liga I |
| Aug 13, 2026 | KuPS(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Arges Pitesti(home) | 0-1 | Liga I |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Farul Constanta win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Universitatea Craiova win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | Farul Constanta 4-1 Universitatea Craiova | Liga I |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Universitatea Craiova 2-0 Farul Constanta | Liga I |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Universitatea Craiova 1-0 Farul Constanta | Liga I |
| Oct 28, 2024 | Farul Constanta 3-2 Universitatea Craiova | Liga I |
| May 13, 2024 | Farul Constanta 3-3 Universitatea Craiova | Liga I |
| Apr 12, 2024 | Universitatea Craiova 1-2 Farul Constanta | Liga I |
Last archived meeting: Farul Constanta vs Universitatea Craiova on Feb 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Farul Constanta score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Universitatea Craiova score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Farul Constanta | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Universitatea Craiova | 1.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Farul Constanta sit 7th in Liga I (9 points from 6 matches) and Universitatea Craiova sit 4th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Universitatea Craiova | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 10 |
| 7 | Farul Constanta | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Farul Constanta vs Universitatea Craiova?
- The Footlab model makes Universitatea Craiova the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Farul Constanta.
- Where and when is Farul Constanta vs Universitatea Craiova played?
- Farul Constanta vs Universitatea Craiova is played on February 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Central, in the Liga I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.