Match

Oţelul vs Farul Constanta: prediction and stats

Liga IRegular Season - 28Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Oţelul, Galaţi

OţelulFarul Constanta

The Footlab AI model makes Oţelul the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Farul Constanta. The most likely score is 1-1. If Oţelul wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Oţelul vs Farul Constanta?

A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Oţelul (1,780) and Farul Constanta (1,814).

41%27%32%
Oţelul winDrawFarul Constanta win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Oţelul vs Farul Constanta

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Oţelul

4-3-3
  1. 9Patrick
  2. 24D. Bordun
  3. 10Andrézinho
  1. 27Pedro Nuno
  2. 17A. Ciobanu
  3. 8Rafael Brito
  1. 6P. Iacob
  2. 3G. Christopoulos
  3. 28Miguel Silva
  4. 2M. Zhelev
  1. 1C. Dur-Bozoancă

Farul Constanta

3-4-3
  1. 20E. Rădăslăvescu
  2. 10E. Sylvestre
  3. 7D. Alibec
  1. 70M. Ahlinvi
  2. 23T. Njiké
  3. 11C. Ganea
  4. 8I. Vînă
  1. 24S. Bouzamoucha
  2. 6V. Dican
  3. 17I. Larie
  1. 12R. Munteanu

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 01:27 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oţelul have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Farul Constanta have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Oţelul
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026FCSB(away)0-1Liga I
Oct 3, 2026FC Bacau(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Sep 21, 2026Corvinul Hunedoara(home)2-3Liga I
Sep 14, 2026Universitatea Cluj(away)0-3Liga I
Sep 6, 2026Rapid(home)0-1Liga I
Farul Constanta
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Petrolul Ploiesti(home)3-1Liga I
Sep 20, 2026Dinamo Bucuresti(away)0-4Liga I
Sep 11, 2026Uta Arad(home)4-2Liga I
Sep 4, 2026CFR 1907 Cluj(away)0-0Liga I
Aug 30, 2026FC Botosani(home)0-0Liga I

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Oţelul wins, 3 draws, 1 Farul Constanta win.

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 3, 2026Farul Constanta 0-0 OţelulFriendlies Clubs
May 9, 2026Oţelul 3-2 Farul ConstantaLiga I
Nov 23, 2025Oţelul 2-2 Farul ConstantaLiga I
Jul 20, 2025Farul Constanta 3-2 OţelulLiga I
May 16, 2025Oţelul 0-0 Farul ConstantaLiga I
Nov 22, 2024Farul Constanta 0-1 OţelulLiga I

Last archived meeting: Farul Constanta vs Oţelul on Jul 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Oţelul score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Farul Constanta score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Oţelul1.21.529/157/15
Farul Constanta1.31.248/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Oţelul sit 14th in Liga I (10 points from 11 matches) and Farul Constanta sit 6th (17 points from 11 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Farul Constanta11452171517
14Oţelul11245111610

A question about Oţelul vs Farul Constanta?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Oţelul vs Farul Constanta?
The Footlab AI model makes Oţelul the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Farul Constanta.
Where and when is Oţelul vs Farul Constanta played?
Oţelul vs Farul Constanta is played on February 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Oţelul, in the Liga I.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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