Fasil Ketema vs Sheger Ketema: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueMatchday 26Kick-off on April 7, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Fasiledes Stadium, Gondar
The Footlab AI model makes Sheger Ketema the favourite at 37%, against 34% for a draw and 29% for Fasil Ketema. The most likely score is 0-0. If Sheger Ketema wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,672 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fasil Ketema vs Sheger Ketema?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Fasil Ketema (1,513) and Sheger Ketema (1,529).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Fasil Ketema vs Sheger Ketema
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Fasil Ketema
Not enough data to predict the Fasil Ketema lineup.
Sheger Ketema
Not enough data to predict the Sheger Ketema lineup.
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 11:13 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fasil Ketema have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Sheger Ketema have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Bahardar(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Hadiya Hosaena(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Halaba Ketema(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Welayta Dicha(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Ethiopian Medhin(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Negelle Arsi(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Kedus Giorgis(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Mebrat Hayl(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Adama Kenema(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ethiopia Bunna(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Fasil Ketema wins, 1 draw, 1 Sheger Ketema win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 29, 2026 | Fasil Ketema 0-1 Sheger Ketema | Premier League |
| Jan 16, 2026 | Sheger Ketema 0-0 Fasil Ketema | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Fasil Ketema vs Sheger Ketema on May 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fasil Ketema score 0.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sheger Ketema score 0.8 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 27% probability of over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fasil Ketema | 0.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Sheger Ketema | 0.8 | 0.7 | 8 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fasil Ketema sit 15th in Premier League (3 points from 4 matches) and Sheger Ketema sit 12th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Sheger Ketema | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| 15 | Fasil Ketema | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
A question about Fasil Ketema vs Sheger Ketema?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fasil Ketema vs Sheger Ketema?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sheger Ketema the favourite at 37%, against 34% for a draw and 29% for Fasil Ketema.
- Where and when is Fasil Ketema vs Sheger Ketema played?
- Fasil Ketema vs Sheger Ketema is played on April 7, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Fasiledes Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 27% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 7, 2027BahardarvsNegelle Arsi
- Apr 7, 2027Ethiopia BunnavsSidama Bunna
- Apr 7, 2027Kedus GiorgisvsGamo Chencha
- Apr 7, 2027Welayta DichavsMekelakeya
- Apr 7, 2027Welwalo Adigrat UnivsAdama Kenema
- Apr 7, 2027Mebrat HaylvsAwassa Kenema
- Apr 7, 2027Hadiya HosaenavsEthiopian Medhin
- Apr 7, 2027Halaba KetemavsEthiopia Nigd Bank