Fasil Ketema vs Adama Kenema: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueMatchday 27Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Fasiledes Stadium, Gondar
The Footlab AI model calls this one tight: 34% for Fasil Ketema, 35% for a draw, 31% for Adama Kenema. The most likely score is 0-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,708 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fasil Ketema vs Adama Kenema?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Fasil Ketema (1,513) and Adama Kenema (1,493).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Fasil Ketema vs Adama Kenema
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Fasil Ketema
Not enough data to predict the Fasil Ketema lineup.
Adama Kenema
4-3-3- 18Abubeker Sani
- 15A. Elias
- 12D. Hotessa
- 16A. Sisay
- 25W. Gadissa
- 9N. Nuri
- 29Mujib Kassim Hamza
- 6M. Abdulkarim
- 21S. Yohannes
- 15M. Awol
- 1A. Markos
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 04:03 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fasil Ketema have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Adama Kenema have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Bahardar(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Hadiya Hosaena(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Halaba Ketema(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Welayta Dicha(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Ethiopian Medhin(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Ethiopia Bunna(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Negelle Arsi(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Kedus Giorgis(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Sheger Ketema(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Mebrat Hayl(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Fasil Ketema win, 5 draws, 0 Adama Kenema wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Fasil Ketema 3-1 Adama Kenema | Premier League |
| Jan 3, 2026 | Adama Kenema 0-0 Fasil Ketema | Premier League |
| Jun 15, 2025 | Fasil Ketema 2-2 Adama Kenema | Premier League |
| Oct 21, 2024 | Adama Kenema 1-1 Fasil Ketema | Premier League |
| Apr 19, 2024 | Fasil Ketema 0-0 Adama Kenema | Premier League |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Adama Kenema 1-1 Fasil Ketema | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Fasil Ketema vs Adama Kenema on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fasil Ketema score 0.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Adama Kenema score 0.9 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 26% probability of over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fasil Ketema | 0.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Adama Kenema | 0.9 | 0.8 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fasil Ketema sit 15th in Premier League (3 points from 4 matches) and Adama Kenema sit 10th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Adama Kenema | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 |
| 15 | Fasil Ketema | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
A question about Fasil Ketema vs Adama Kenema?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fasil Ketema vs Adama Kenema?
- The Footlab AI model calls this one tight: 34% for Fasil Ketema, 35% for a draw, 31% for Adama Kenema.
- Where and when is Fasil Ketema vs Adama Kenema played?
- Fasil Ketema vs Adama Kenema is played on April 10, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Fasiledes Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 26% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 10, 2027BahardarvsSheger Ketema
- Apr 10, 2027Ethiopia BunnavsGamo Chencha
- Apr 10, 2027Kedus GiorgisvsAwassa Kenema
- Apr 10, 2027Welayta DichavsEthiopian Medhin
- Apr 10, 2027Welwalo Adigrat UnivsNegelle Arsi
- Apr 10, 2027Mebrat HaylvsSidama Bunna
- Apr 10, 2027Hadiya HosaenavsEthiopia Nigd Bank
- Apr 10, 2027Halaba KetemavsMekelakeya