Match

Bahardar vs Sheger Ketema: prediction and stats

Premier LeagueRegular Season - 27Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Bahir Dar Stadium, Bahir Dar

BahardarSheger Ketema

The Footlab AI model calls this one tight: 30% for Bahardar, 36% for a draw, 34% for Sheger Ketema. The most likely score is 0-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,771 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bahardar vs Sheger Ketema?

A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Bahardar (1,563) and Sheger Ketema (1,540).

30%36%34%
Bahardar winDrawSheger Ketema win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Bahardar vs Sheger Ketema

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Bahardar

Not enough data to predict the Bahardar lineup.

Sheger Ketema

Not enough data to predict the Sheger Ketema lineup.

Computed on October 28, 2026 at 08:02 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bahardar have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Sheger Ketema have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bahardar
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 22, 2026Welayta Dicha(away)3-1Premier League
Oct 16, 2026Halaba Ketema(away)0-1Premier League
Oct 11, 2026Hadiya Hosaena(away)1-0Premier League
Jul 3, 2026Ethiopia Nigd Bank(away)2-2Premier League
Jun 28, 2026Sidama Bunna(home)0-1Premier League
Sheger Ketema
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 26, 2026Kedus Giorgis(away)2-2Premier League
Oct 20, 2026Mebrat Hayl(away)0-1Premier League
Oct 16, 2026Adama Kenema(away)0-0Premier League
Oct 11, 2026Ethiopia Bunna(away)1-0Premier League
Jul 4, 2026Suhul Shire(away)2-0Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Bahardar wins, 0 draws, 2 Sheger Ketema wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 20, 2026Bahardar 0-2 Sheger KetemaPremier League
Dec 6, 2025Sheger Ketema 3-1 BahardarPremier League

Last archived meeting: Bahardar vs Sheger Ketema on Apr 20, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Bahardar score 0.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Sheger Ketema score 0.9 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 23% probability of over 2.5 goals and 33% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Bahardar0.90.865/152/15
Sheger Ketema0.90.693/152/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Bahardar sit 4th in Premier League (6 points from 3 matches) and Sheger Ketema sit 7th (5 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Bahardar3201426
7Sheger Ketema4121335

A question about Bahardar vs Sheger Ketema?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bahardar vs Sheger Ketema?
The Footlab AI model calls this one tight: 30% for Bahardar, 36% for a draw, 34% for Sheger Ketema.
Where and when is Bahardar vs Sheger Ketema played?
Bahardar vs Sheger Ketema is played on April 10, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Bahir Dar Stadium, in the Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 23% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Bahardar and Sheger Ketema

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