Fatih Karagümrük vs Boluspor: prediction and stats
1. LigRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Atatürk Olimpiyat Stadı, İstanbul
The Footlab model makes Fatih Karagümrük the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Boluspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fatih Karagümrük vs Boluspor?
Fatih Karagümrük starts as the favourite with a 143-point Elo edge (1,869 vs 1,726).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fatih Karagümrük have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Boluspor have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Bursaspor(home) | 2-1 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ümraniyespor(home) | 2-1 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Iğdır FK(away) | 0-2 | 1. Lig |
| May 16, 2026 | Alanyaspor(home) | 2-1 | Süper Lig |
| May 9, 2026 | Kocaelispor(away) | 1-0 | Süper Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Mardin 1969(home) | 0-3 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Batman Petrolspor(away) | 0-2 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Manisa F.K.(home) | 1-2 | 1. Lig |
| May 1, 2026 | Serik Spor(home) | 3-1 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Pendikspor(away) | 0-2 | 1. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Fatih Karagümrük win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Boluspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2025 | Boluspor 1-0 Fatih Karagümrük | 1. Lig |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Fatih Karagümrük 2-2 Boluspor | 1. Lig |
| Jul 6, 2020 | Fatih Karagümrük 3-1 Boluspor | 1. Lig |
| Dec 14, 2019 | Boluspor 0-2 Fatih Karagümrük | 1. Lig |
Last archived meeting: Boluspor vs Fatih Karagümrük on Apr 19, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Fatih Karagümrük score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Boluspor score 1.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fatih Karagümrük | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Boluspor | 1.0 | 1.7 | 4 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fatih Karagümrük sit 6th in 1. Lig (6 points from 3 matches) and Boluspor sit 20th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Fatih Karagümrük | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| 20 | Boluspor | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fatih Karagümrük vs Boluspor?
- The Footlab model makes Fatih Karagümrük the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Boluspor.
- Where and when is Fatih Karagümrük vs Boluspor played?
- Fatih Karagümrük vs Boluspor is played on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Atatürk Olimpiyat Stadı, in the 1. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.