Iğdır FK vs Ümraniyespor: prediction and stats
1. LigRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Iğdır FK the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Ümraniyespor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Iğdır FK vs Ümraniyespor?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Iğdır FK (1,797) and Ümraniyespor (1,750).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Iğdır FK have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Ümraniyespor have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kayserispor(home) | 0-1 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bursaspor(away) | 0-1 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Fatih Karagümrük(home) | 2-0 | 1. Lig |
| May 2, 2026 | Amed(home) | 3-3 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Sivasspor(away) | 1-2 | 1. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Esenler Erokspor(home) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fatih Karagümrük(away) | 1-2 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Mardin 1969(home) | 0-0 | 1. Lig |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Galatasaray(home) | 1-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 2, 2026 | Keçiörengücü(home) | 1-4 | 1. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Iğdır FK win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Ümraniyespor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2026 | Iğdır FK 1-1 Ümraniyespor | 1. Lig |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Ümraniyespor 0-1 Iğdır FK | 1. Lig |
| Mar 28, 2025 | Iğdır FK 0-0 Ümraniyespor | 1. Lig |
| Nov 8, 2024 | Ümraniyespor 0-1 Iğdır FK | 1. Lig |
Last archived meeting: Iğdır FK vs Ümraniyespor on Feb 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Iğdır FK score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ümraniyespor score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iğdır FK | 1.2 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Ümraniyespor | 1.2 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Iğdır FK sit 12th in 1. Lig (3 points from 3 matches) and Ümraniyespor sit 15th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Iğdır FK | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 15 | Ümraniyespor | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Iğdır FK vs Ümraniyespor?
- The Footlab model makes Iğdır FK the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Ümraniyespor.
- Where and when is Iğdır FK vs Ümraniyespor played?
- Iğdır FK vs Ümraniyespor is played on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the 1. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.