Fatih Karagümrük vs Sarıyer: prediction and stats
1. LigMatchday 31Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Atatürk Olimpiyat Stadı, İstanbul
The Footlab AI model makes Fatih Karagümrük the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Sarıyer. The most likely score is 1-1. If Fatih Karagümrük wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,506 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fatih Karagümrük vs Sarıyer?
A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Fatih Karagümrük (1,870) and Sarıyer (1,802).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Fatih Karagümrük vs Sarıyer
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Fatih Karagümrük
4-2-3-1- 9C. Tosun
- 5E. Akbaba
- 19Y. Onogo
- 26Traore Ahmed
- 20M. Siopis
- 7Baris Kalayci
- 4D. Biraschi
- 28A. Çınar
- 6R. Yalçın
- 33Ç. Kurukalıp
- 1M. Silvestri
Sarıyer
4-2-3-1- 90E. Eze
- 10E. Karaca
- 28H. Yeşilyurt
- 8Marcos Silva
- 41F. Gedik
- 14T. Ergül
- 5E. Korkmazoğlu
- 24K. Arslan
- 88C. Osmanpaşa
- 77C. Karayel
- 13I. Šehić
Computed on November 12, 2026 at 05:45 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fatih Karagümrük have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Sarıyer have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Bandırmaspor(away) | 4-0 | 1. Lig |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Pendikspor(home) | 0-1 | 1. Lig |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Somaspor(home) | 0-0 | Türkiye Kupası |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Sarıyer(away) | 2-0 | 1. Lig |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Keçiörengücü(home) | 1-2 | 1. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Iğdır FK(home) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Vanspor FK(away) | 0-1 | 1. Lig |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Ayvalikgucu(home) | 1-0 | Türkiye Kupası |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Fatih Karagümrük(home) | 0-2 | 1. Lig |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Sivasspor(away) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 3 Fatih Karagümrük wins, 0 draws, 0 Sarıyer wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Sarıyer 0-2 Fatih Karagümrük | 1. Lig |
| Dec 4, 2024 | Fatih Karagümrük 3-0 Sarıyer | Türkiye Kupası |
| Dec 1, 2021 | Fatih Karagümrük 2-0 Sarıyer | Türkiye Kupası |
Last archived meeting: Sarıyer vs Fatih Karagümrük on Oct 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fatih Karagümrük score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sarıyer score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fatih Karagümrük | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Sarıyer | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fatih Karagümrük sit 9th in 1. Lig (19 points from 14 matches) and Sarıyer sit 13th (17 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Fatih Karagümrük | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 19 |
| 13 | Sarıyer | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 19 | 17 |
A question about Fatih Karagümrük vs Sarıyer?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fatih Karagümrük vs Sarıyer?
- The Footlab AI model makes Fatih Karagümrük the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Sarıyer.
- Where and when is Fatih Karagümrük vs Sarıyer played?
- Fatih Karagümrük vs Sarıyer is played on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Atatürk Olimpiyat Stadı, in the 1. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.