Pendikspor vs Fatih Karagümrük: prediction and stats
1. LigRegular Season - 32Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Siltaş Yapı Pendik Stadyumu, İstanbul
The Footlab model makes Pendikspor the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Fatih Karagümrük. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pendikspor vs Fatih Karagümrük?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Pendikspor (1,819) and Fatih Karagümrük (1,869).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pendikspor have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Fatih Karagümrük have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Antalyaspor(away) | 3-2 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Keçiörengücü(away) | 1-4 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Batman Petrolspor(home) | 2-2 | 1. Lig |
| May 7, 2026 | Bodrum FK(away) | 0-2 | 1. Lig |
| May 2, 2026 | Esenler Erokspor(away) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Bursaspor(home) | 2-1 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ümraniyespor(home) | 2-1 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Iğdır FK(away) | 0-2 | 1. Lig |
| May 16, 2026 | Alanyaspor(home) | 2-1 | Süper Lig |
| May 9, 2026 | Kocaelispor(away) | 1-0 | Süper Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Pendikspor win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Fatih Karagümrük win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2025 | Pendikspor 2-0 Fatih Karagümrük | 1. Lig |
| Jan 4, 2025 | Fatih Karagümrük 0-2 Pendikspor | 1. Lig |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Fatih Karagümrük 2-0 Pendikspor | Süper Lig |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Pendikspor 1-1 Fatih Karagümrük | Süper Lig |
| Mar 24, 2019 | Pendikspor 2-0 Fatih Karagümrük | 2. Lig |
| Nov 4, 2018 | Fatih Karagümrük 4-1 Pendikspor | 2. Lig |
Last archived meeting: Pendikspor vs Fatih Karagümrük on May 4, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Pendikspor score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Fatih Karagümrük score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pendikspor | 1.7 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Fatih Karagümrük | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pendikspor sit 10th in 1. Lig (4 points from 3 matches) and Fatih Karagümrük sit 6th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Fatih Karagümrük | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| 10 | Pendikspor | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pendikspor vs Fatih Karagümrük?
- The Footlab model makes Pendikspor the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Fatih Karagümrük.
- Where and when is Pendikspor vs Fatih Karagümrük played?
- Pendikspor vs Fatih Karagümrük is played on April 4, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Siltaş Yapı Pendik Stadyumu, in the 1. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.