Sarıyer vs Vanspor FK: prediction and stats
1. LigRegular Season - 32Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Maltepe Hasan Polat Stadı, İstanbul
The Footlab model makes Sarıyer the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Vanspor FK. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sarıyer vs Vanspor FK?
A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Sarıyer (1,826) and Vanspor FK (1,758).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sarıyer have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Vanspor FK have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Batman Petrolspor(home) | 1-2 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Esenler Erokspor(away) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Muğlaspor(home) | 2-0 | 1. Lig |
| May 2, 2026 | Bodrum FK(away) | 1-0 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Esenler Erokspor(home) | 1-0 | 1. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | İstanbulspor(home) | 3-2 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Manisa F.K.(away) | 1-4 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kayserispor(home) | 0-2 | 1. Lig |
| May 1, 2026 | Hatayspor(away) | 1-3 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 25, 2026 | İstanbulspor(home) | 1-3 | 1. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Sarıyer win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Vanspor FK win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Vanspor FK 0-0 Sarıyer | 1. Lig |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Sarıyer 2-1 Vanspor FK | 1. Lig |
| Apr 30, 2023 | Sarıyer 2-3 Vanspor FK | 2. Lig |
| Nov 27, 2022 | Vanspor FK 1-1 Sarıyer | 2. Lig |
| Mar 20, 2022 | Sarıyer 1-1 Vanspor FK | 2. Lig |
| Nov 6, 2021 | Vanspor FK 1-0 Sarıyer | 2. Lig |
Last archived meeting: Vanspor FK vs Sarıyer on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sarıyer score 1.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Vanspor FK score 1.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarıyer | 1.5 | 0.8 | 9 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Vanspor FK | 1.1 | 1.8 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sarıyer sit 9th in 1. Lig (4 points from 3 matches) and Vanspor FK sit 14th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Sarıyer | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 14 | Vanspor FK | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sarıyer vs Vanspor FK?
- The Footlab model makes Sarıyer the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Vanspor FK.
- Where and when is Sarıyer vs Vanspor FK played?
- Sarıyer vs Vanspor FK is played on April 4, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Maltepe Hasan Polat Stadı, in the 1. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.