Fátima vs Oliveira Hospital: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group CGroup C - 4Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Papa Francisco, Fátima
The Footlab model makes Oliveira Hospital the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Fátima. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fátima vs Oliveira Hospital?
A very open match: only 90 Elo points separate Fátima (1,785) and Oliveira Hospital (1,875).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fátima have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Oliveira Hospital have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Atlético Malveira(home) | 5-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Aug 16, 2026 | O Elvas(away) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Benfica Castelo Branco(home) | 4-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Eléctrico(away) | 3-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Vitória de Sernache(home) | 2-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Os Marialvas(away) | 2-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Benfica Castelo Branco(home) | 2-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| May 31, 2026 | Atlético Malveira(home) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round |
| May 23, 2026 | Louletano(away) | 1-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round |
| May 17, 2026 | Vitória de Sernache(away) | 0-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Fátima win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Oliveira Hospital win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | Fátima 0-2 Oliveira Hospital | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Oliveira Hospital 2-0 Fátima | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Nov 10, 2019 | Fátima 2-0 Oliveira Hospital | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
Last archived meeting: Fátima vs Oliveira Hospital on Mar 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fátima score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Oliveira Hospital score 1.7 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fátima | 1.5 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Oliveira Hospital | 1.7 | 0.8 | 7 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fátima sit 2nd in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C (4 points from 2 matches) and Oliveira Hospital sit 11th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Fátima | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 | Oliveira Hospital | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fátima vs Oliveira Hospital?
- The Footlab model makes Oliveira Hospital the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Fátima.
- Where and when is Fátima vs Oliveira Hospital played?
- Fátima vs Oliveira Hospital is played on September 13, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Papa Francisco, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.