Farense vs Fátima: prediction and stats
Taça de PortugalRound of 32Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio de São Lúis, Faro
The Footlab AI model makes Farense the favourite at 78%, against 14% for a draw and 8% for Fátima. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 6,194 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Farense vs Fátima?
Farense starts as the favourite with a 122-point Elo edge (1,987 vs 1,865).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Farense vs Fátima
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Farense
4-3-3- 7João Resende
- 17André Candeias
- 11Nélson Oliveira
- 10S. Singh
- 29Cláudio Falcão
- 27Mattheus Oliveira
- 37Gonçalo Silva
- 44N. Zolotić
- 78Alex Pinto
- 6Derick Poloni
- 97F. Buntić
Fátima
4-3-3- 16Rodri
- 20T. Silva
- 11D. Goncalves
- 17R. Omrani
- 2F. Moura
- 6Alex Silva
- 5B. Beato
- 4J. Santos
- 23J. Escoval
- MM. Marques
- 24E. Tetteh
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 08:00 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Farense have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Fátima have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Benfica B(home) | 2-3 | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Lusitânia Lourosa(away) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Penafiel(home) | 1-4 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 17, 2026 | AD Marco 09(home) | 3-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Feirense(home) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | UD da Serra(away) | 2-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Fazendense(home) | 6-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Sertanense(away) | 2-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Academico Viseu(home) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Nazarenos(home) | 1-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
How many goals should we expect?
Farense score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Fátima score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Farense | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Fátima | 2.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Farense vs Fátima?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Farense vs Fátima?
- The Footlab AI model makes Farense the favourite at 78%, against 14% for a draw and 8% for Fátima.
- Where and when is Farense vs Fátima played?
- Farense vs Fátima is played on November 22, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio de São Lúis, in the Taça de Portugal.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.