Where and when is Fatsa Belediyespor vs Karadeniz Ereğli BSK played?

Fatsa Belediyespor vs Karadeniz Ereğli BSK is played on January 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Fatsa İlçe Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Fatsa Belediyespor vs Karadeniz Ereğli BSK: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 13. Lig Group 1 - 18Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Fatsa İlçe Stadyumu, Fatsa

Fatsa Belediyespor

Karadeniz Ereğli BSK

The Footlab model makes Karadeniz Ereğli BSK the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Fatsa Belediyespor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Fatsa Belediyespor vs Karadeniz Ereğli BSK?

A very open match: only 92 Elo points separate Fatsa Belediyespor (1,536) and Karadeniz Ereğli BSK (1,628).

Fatsa Belediyespor win33 %

Draw28 %

Karadeniz Ereğli BSK win39 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fatsa Belediyespor have 4 wins, 1 draws and 10 defeats; Karadeniz Ereğli BSK have 10, 1 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Fatsa Belediyespor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 28, 2026	Yeni Orduspor(away)	1-4	3. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 24, 2026	Yeni Orduspor(home)	1-3	3. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 18, 2026	Çayelispor(home)	5-1	3. Lig - Group 3
Apr 12, 2026	Amasyaspor 1968(away)	0-1	3. Lig - Group 3
Apr 5, 2026	Karabük İdman Yurdu(home)	2-3	3. Lig - Group 3

Karadeniz Ereğli BSK
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 28, 2026	Yozgat Bld Bozokspor(home)	0-3	3. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 24, 2026	Yozgat Bld Bozokspor(away)	0-1	3. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 18, 2026	Orduspor 1967(home)	5-3	3. Lig - Group 3
Apr 12, 2026	1926 Bulancak(away)	0-1	3. Lig - Group 3
Apr 5, 2026	Çayelispor(home)	1-0	3. Lig - Group 3

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Fatsa Belediyespor win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Karadeniz Ereğli BSK win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 31, 2026	Fatsa Belediyespor 0-1 Karadeniz Ereğli BSK	3. Lig - Group 3
Sep 28, 2025	Karadeniz Ereğli BSK 0-0 Fatsa Belediyespor	3. Lig - Group 3

Last archived meeting: Fatsa Belediyespor vs Karadeniz Ereğli BSK on Jan 31, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Fatsa Belediyespor score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Karadeniz Ereğli BSK score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Fatsa Belediyespor	1.1	1.7	3	8/15	8/15
Karadeniz Ereğli BSK	1.2	0.9	8	3/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Fatsa Belediyespor vs Karadeniz Ereğli BSK?: The Footlab model makes Karadeniz Ereğli BSK the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Fatsa Belediyespor.
Where and when is Fatsa Belediyespor vs Karadeniz Ereğli BSK played?: Fatsa Belediyespor vs Karadeniz Ereğli BSK is played on January 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Fatsa İlçe Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.