Where and when is Karadeniz Ereğli BSK vs Fatsa Belediyespor played?

Karadeniz Ereğli BSK vs Fatsa Belediyespor is played on September 6, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Beyçayırı Şehit Vefa Karakurdu, in the 3. Lig - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Karadeniz Ereğli BSK vs Fatsa Belediyespor: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 13. Lig Group 1 - 1Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Beyçayırı Şehit Vefa Karakurdu, Karadeniz Ereğli

Karadeniz Ereğli BSK

Fatsa Belediyespor

The Footlab model makes Karadeniz Ereğli BSK the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Fatsa Belediyespor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Karadeniz Ereğli BSK vs Fatsa Belediyespor?

A very open match: only 92 Elo points separate Karadeniz Ereğli BSK (1,628) and Fatsa Belediyespor (1,536).

Karadeniz Ereğli BSK win49 %

Draw27 %

Fatsa Belediyespor win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karadeniz Ereğli BSK have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Fatsa Belediyespor have 4, 1 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Karadeniz Ereğli BSK
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 28, 2026	Yozgat Bld Bozokspor(home)	0-3	3. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 24, 2026	Yozgat Bld Bozokspor(away)	0-1	3. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 18, 2026	Orduspor 1967(home)	5-3	3. Lig - Group 3
Apr 12, 2026	1926 Bulancak(away)	0-1	3. Lig - Group 3
Apr 5, 2026	Çayelispor(home)	1-0	3. Lig - Group 3

Fatsa Belediyespor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 28, 2026	Yeni Orduspor(away)	1-4	3. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 24, 2026	Yeni Orduspor(home)	1-3	3. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 18, 2026	Çayelispor(home)	5-1	3. Lig - Group 3
Apr 12, 2026	Amasyaspor 1968(away)	0-1	3. Lig - Group 3
Apr 5, 2026	Karabük İdman Yurdu(home)	2-3	3. Lig - Group 3

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Karadeniz Ereğli BSK win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Fatsa Belediyespor win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 31, 2026	Fatsa Belediyespor 0-1 Karadeniz Ereğli BSK	3. Lig - Group 3
Sep 28, 2025	Karadeniz Ereğli BSK 0-0 Fatsa Belediyespor	3. Lig - Group 3

Last archived meeting: Fatsa Belediyespor vs Karadeniz Ereğli BSK on Jan 31, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Karadeniz Ereğli BSK score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Fatsa Belediyespor score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Karadeniz Ereğli BSK	1.2	0.9	8	3/15	5/15
Fatsa Belediyespor	1.1	1.7	3	8/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Karadeniz Ereğli BSK vs Fatsa Belediyespor?: The Footlab model makes Karadeniz Ereğli BSK the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Fatsa Belediyespor.
Where and when is Karadeniz Ereğli BSK vs Fatsa Belediyespor played?: Karadeniz Ereğli BSK vs Fatsa Belediyespor is played on September 6, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Beyçayırı Şehit Vefa Karakurdu, in the 3. Lig - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.