Where and when is Tokat Bld Plevnespor vs Yalova Yeşilovaspor played?

Tokat Bld Plevnespor vs Yalova Yeşilovaspor is played on January 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Yeni Erbaa Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Tokat Bld Plevnespor vs Yalova Yeşilovaspor: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 13. Lig Group 1 - 18Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Yeni Erbaa Stadyumu, Tokat

Tokat Bld Plevnespor

Yalova Yeşilovaspor

The Footlab model makes Tokat Bld Plevnespor the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Yalova Yeşilovaspor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Tokat Bld Plevnespor vs Yalova Yeşilovaspor?

A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Tokat Bld Plevnespor (1,538) and Yalova Yeşilovaspor (1,548).

Tokat Bld Plevnespor win40 %

Draw28 %

Yalova Yeşilovaspor win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tokat Bld Plevnespor have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Yalova Yeşilovaspor have 3, 6 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Tokat Bld Plevnespor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 18, 2026	Düzcespor(home)	2-0	3. Lig - Group 3
Apr 12, 2026	Yozgat Bld Bozokspor(away)	0-2	3. Lig - Group 3
Apr 5, 2026	Yeni Orduspor(away)	0-6	3. Lig - Group 3
Mar 29, 2026	Giresunspor(home)	2-0	3. Lig - Group 3
Mar 25, 2026	Pazarspor(away)	0-0	3. Lig - Group 3

Yalova Yeşilovaspor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 18, 2026	İnkılapspor(away)	0-1	3. Lig - Group 1
Apr 12, 2026	Çorluspor 1947(home)	0-2	3. Lig - Group 1
Apr 5, 2026	Etimesgut SK(away)	0-2	3. Lig - Group 1
Mar 28, 2026	1926 Polatlı Belediye(home)	1-2	3. Lig - Group 1
Mar 24, 2026	Nilüfer Belediye(away)	2-3	3. Lig - Group 1

How many goals should we expect?

Tokat Bld Plevnespor score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Yalova Yeşilovaspor score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Tokat Bld Plevnespor	1.1	1.2	7	4/15	5/15
Yalova Yeşilovaspor	1.1	1.3	4	8/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Yalova Yeşilovaspor	30	9	10	11	38	36	37

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Tokat Bld Plevnespor vs Yalova Yeşilovaspor?: The Footlab model makes Tokat Bld Plevnespor the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Yalova Yeşilovaspor.
Where and when is Tokat Bld Plevnespor vs Yalova Yeşilovaspor played?: Tokat Bld Plevnespor vs Yalova Yeşilovaspor is played on January 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Yeni Erbaa Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.