Where and when is Fatsa Belediyespor vs Yalova Yeşilovaspor played?

Fatsa Belediyespor vs Yalova Yeşilovaspor is played on September 27, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Fatsa İlçe Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Fatsa Belediyespor vs Yalova Yeşilovaspor: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 13. Lig Group 1 - 4Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Fatsa İlçe Stadyumu, Fatsa

Fatsa Belediyespor

Yalova Yeşilovaspor

The Footlab model makes Fatsa Belediyespor the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Yalova Yeşilovaspor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Fatsa Belediyespor vs Yalova Yeşilovaspor?

A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Fatsa Belediyespor (1,536) and Yalova Yeşilovaspor (1,548).

Fatsa Belediyespor win40 %

Draw28 %

Yalova Yeşilovaspor win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fatsa Belediyespor have 4 wins, 1 draws and 10 defeats; Yalova Yeşilovaspor have 3, 6 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Fatsa Belediyespor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 28, 2026	Yeni Orduspor(away)	1-4	3. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 24, 2026	Yeni Orduspor(home)	1-3	3. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 18, 2026	Çayelispor(home)	5-1	3. Lig - Group 3
Apr 12, 2026	Amasyaspor 1968(away)	0-1	3. Lig - Group 3
Apr 5, 2026	Karabük İdman Yurdu(home)	2-3	3. Lig - Group 3

Yalova Yeşilovaspor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 18, 2026	İnkılapspor(away)	0-1	3. Lig - Group 1
Apr 12, 2026	Çorluspor 1947(home)	0-2	3. Lig - Group 1
Apr 5, 2026	Etimesgut SK(away)	0-2	3. Lig - Group 1
Mar 28, 2026	1926 Polatlı Belediye(home)	1-2	3. Lig - Group 1
Mar 24, 2026	Nilüfer Belediye(away)	2-3	3. Lig - Group 1

How many goals should we expect?

Fatsa Belediyespor score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Yalova Yeşilovaspor score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Fatsa Belediyespor	1.1	1.7	3	8/15	8/15
Yalova Yeşilovaspor	1.1	1.3	4	8/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Yalova Yeşilovaspor	30	9	10	11	38	36	37

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Fatsa Belediyespor vs Yalova Yeşilovaspor?: The Footlab model makes Fatsa Belediyespor the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Yalova Yeşilovaspor.
Where and when is Fatsa Belediyespor vs Yalova Yeşilovaspor played?: Fatsa Belediyespor vs Yalova Yeşilovaspor is played on September 27, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Fatsa İlçe Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.