Match

Tokat Bld Plevnespor vs Galata: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 13. Lig Group 1 - 4Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Yeni Erbaa Stadyumu, Tokat

Tokat Bld PlevnesporGalata

The Footlab model makes Tokat Bld Plevnespor the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Galata. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Tokat Bld Plevnespor vs Galata?

A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Tokat Bld Plevnespor (1,538) and Galata (1,512).

Tokat Bld Plevnespor win43 %
Draw28 %
Galata win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tokat Bld Plevnespor have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Galata have 2, 4 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Tokat Bld Plevnespor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026Düzcespor(home)2-03. Lig - Group 3
Apr 12, 2026Yozgat Bld Bozokspor(away)0-23. Lig - Group 3
Apr 5, 2026Yeni Orduspor(away)0-63. Lig - Group 3
Mar 29, 2026Giresunspor(home)2-03. Lig - Group 3
Mar 25, 2026Pazarspor(away)0-03. Lig - Group 3
Galata
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026Çankaya FK(home)1-33. Lig - Group 1
Apr 12, 2026Bursa Yıldırımspor(away)0-03. Lig - Group 1
Apr 5, 2026İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik(home)0-13. Lig - Group 1
Mar 29, 2026Kestel Çilek(home)2-13. Lig - Group 1
Mar 25, 2026Beykoz İshaklıspor(away)1-13. Lig - Group 1

How many goals should we expect?

Tokat Bld Plevnespor score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Galata score 0.8 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Tokat Bld Plevnespor1.11.274/155/15
Galata0.81.418/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Galata3010713343437

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Tokat Bld Plevnespor vs Galata?
The Footlab model makes Tokat Bld Plevnespor the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Galata.
Where and when is Tokat Bld Plevnespor vs Galata played?
Tokat Bld Plevnespor vs Galata is played on September 27, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Yeni Erbaa Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Tokat Bld Plevnespor and Galata

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