Match

Pazarspor vs Karabük İdman Yurdu: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 13. Lig Group 1 - 4Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Pazar İlçe Stadyumu, Pazar

PazarsporKarabük İdman Yurdu

The Footlab model makes Pazarspor the favourite at 43%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for Karabük İdman Yurdu. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pazarspor vs Karabük İdman Yurdu?

A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Pazarspor (1,583) and Karabük İdman Yurdu (1,541).

Pazarspor win43 %
Draw30 %
Karabük İdman Yurdu win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pazarspor have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Karabük İdman Yurdu have 10, 2 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pazarspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026Amasyaspor 1968(home)1-03. Lig - Group 3
Apr 12, 2026Karabük İdman Yurdu(away)1-03. Lig - Group 3
Apr 5, 2026Zonguldak Kömürspor(home)3-33. Lig - Group 3
Mar 29, 2026Düzcespor(away)0-13. Lig - Group 3
Mar 25, 2026Tokat Bld Plevnespor(home)0-03. Lig - Group 3
Karabük İdman Yurdu
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026Giresunspor(away)1-03. Lig - Group 3
Apr 12, 2026Pazarspor(home)0-13. Lig - Group 3
Apr 5, 2026Fatsa Belediyespor(away)3-23. Lig - Group 3
Mar 29, 2026Artvin Hopaspor(home)3-13. Lig - Group 3
Mar 24, 2026Karadeniz Ereğli BSK(away)0-03. Lig - Group 3

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Pazarspor win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Karabük İdman Yurdu win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 12, 2026Karabük İdman Yurdu 0-1 Pazarspor3. Lig - Group 3
Dec 17, 2025Pazarspor 1-0 Karabük İdman Yurdu3. Lig - Group 3
Feb 16, 2025Karabük İdman Yurdu 0-0 Pazarspor3. Lig - Group 3
Oct 5, 2024Pazarspor 2-2 Karabük İdman Yurdu3. Lig - Group 3

Last archived meeting: Karabük İdman Yurdu vs Pazarspor on Apr 12, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Pazarspor score 1.0 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Karabük İdman Yurdu score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Pazarspor1.00.5103/153/15
Karabük İdman Yurdu1.20.985/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pazarspor vs Karabük İdman Yurdu?
The Footlab model makes Pazarspor the favourite at 43%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for Karabük İdman Yurdu.
Where and when is Pazarspor vs Karabük İdman Yurdu played?
Pazarspor vs Karabük İdman Yurdu is played on September 27, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Pazar İlçe Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Pazarspor and Karabük İdman Yurdu

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