Fauske Sprint vs Tromsø II: prediction and stats
3. Division - Girone 5Regular Season - 21Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Fauske Sprint the favourite at 52%, against 20% for a draw and 28% for Tromsø II. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fauske Sprint vs Tromsø II?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Fauske Sprint (1,574) and Tromsø II (1,567).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fauske Sprint have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Tromsø II have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Finnsnes(home) | 1-3 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Skedsmo(away) | 3-5 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Skjetten(home) | 4-5 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Harstad(away) | 1-10 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Fløya(home) | 3-1 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Bossekop(away) | 3-3 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Alta(home) | 3-0 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Strømsgodset II(away) | 2-0 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Ulfstind(home) | 1-3 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Lillestrøm II(away) | 3-5 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Fauske Sprint win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Tromsø II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2026 | Tromsø II 1-3 Fauske Sprint | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
Last archived meeting: Tromsø II vs Fauske Sprint on May 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fauske Sprint score 2.6 and concede 3.4 goals per match over their last 15; Tromsø II score 1.9 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 81% probability of over 2.5 goals and 77% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fauske Sprint | 2.6 | 3.4 | 0 | 15/15 | 15/15 |
| Tromsø II | 1.9 | 2.2 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fauske Sprint sit 7th in 3. Division - Girone 5 (22 points from 16 matches) and Tromsø II sit 12th (17 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Fauske Sprint | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 42 | 54 | 22 |
| 12 | Tromsø II | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 28 | 31 | 17 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fauske Sprint vs Tromsø II?
- The Footlab model makes Fauske Sprint the favourite at 52%, against 20% for a draw and 28% for Tromsø II.
- Where and when is Fauske Sprint vs Tromsø II played?
- Fauske Sprint vs Tromsø II is played on September 27, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC), in the 3. Division - Girone 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 81% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.