Tromsø II vs Finnsnes: prediction and stats
3. Division - Girone 5Regular Season - 22Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Romssa Arena, Tromsø
The Footlab model makes Tromsø II the favourite at 49%, against 21% for a draw and 31% for Finnsnes. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tromsø II vs Finnsnes?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Tromsø II (1,567) and Finnsnes (1,588).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tromsø II have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Finnsnes have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Bossekop(away) | 3-3 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Alta(home) | 3-0 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Strømsgodset II(away) | 2-0 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Ulfstind(home) | 1-3 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Lillestrøm II(away) | 3-5 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Fauske Sprint(away) | 3-1 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bossekop(home) | 2-3 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Skedsmo(away) | 1-0 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Strømsgodset II(home) | 2-1 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Alta(away) | 0-3 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Tromsø II win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Finnsnes win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Finnsnes 3-1 Tromsø II | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Sep 29, 2021 | Tromsø II 3-1 Finnsnes | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
Last archived meeting: Finnsnes vs Tromsø II on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tromsø II score 1.9 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Finnsnes score 2.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 78% probability of over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tromsø II | 1.9 | 2.2 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Finnsnes | 2.1 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tromsø II sit 12th in 3. Division - Girone 5 (17 points from 16 matches) and Finnsnes sit 2nd (32 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Finnsnes | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 34 | 23 | 32 |
| 12 | Tromsø II | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 28 | 31 | 17 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tromsø II vs Finnsnes?
- The Footlab model makes Tromsø II the favourite at 49%, against 21% for a draw and 31% for Finnsnes.
- Where and when is Tromsø II vs Finnsnes played?
- Tromsø II vs Finnsnes is played on October 3, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Romssa Arena, in the 3. Division - Girone 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 78% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.