FBC Melgar vs Union Comercio: result 2-1 and analysis
Primera DivisiónApertura - 15Kick-off on May 9, 2016 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio de la Universidad Nacional San Agustín, Arequipa
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What was the result of FBC Melgar vs Union Comercio?
FBC Melgar won 2-1 on May 9, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 11′Patricio Salvatore Arce CambanaFBC Melgar
- 23′A. SantamaríaFBC Melgar
- 42′Diego Armando Mayora RengifoUnion Comercio
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 14 matches in all competitions, FBC Melgar have 6 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Union Comercio have 5, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2016 | Universitario(away) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| May 1, 2016 | Cesar Vallejo(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Apr 27, 2016 | Alianza Lima(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Apr 23, 2016 | Alianza Atletico(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Apr 19, 2016 | Real Garcilaso(home) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2016 | Deportivo Municipal(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Apr 27, 2016 | Sport Huancayo(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Apr 24, 2016 | Comerciantes Unidos(home) | 3-2 | Primera División |
| Apr 17, 2016 | Universitario(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Apr 3, 2016 | Juan Aurich(home) | 0-0 | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
FBC Melgar score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 14; Union Comercio score 1.2 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FBC Melgar | 1.6 | 1.2 | 3 | 9/14 | 9/14 |
| Union Comercio | 1.2 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/14 | 9/14 |
Over the last 14 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | FBC Melgar | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 10 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 20 | 28 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 20 | 28 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 39 | 26 | 38 |
| 6 | FBC Melgar | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- May 7, 2016Sport Huancayo3-0U. San Martin
- May 7, 2016Deportivo Municipal2-0Cesar Vallejo
- May 7, 2016Juan Aurich2-0Ayacucho FC
- May 8, 2016Real Garcilaso3-1Alianza Atletico
- May 8, 2016Defensor LA Bocana2-1Sporting Cristal
- May 8, 2016Comerciantes Unidos2-1Alianza Lima
- May 8, 2016Universitario3-1UTC Cajamarca