Comerciantes Unidos vs Alianza Lima: result 2-1 and analysis
Primera DivisiónApertura - 15Kick-off on May 8, 2016 at 08:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra, Cutervo
Full time
What was the result of Comerciantes Unidos vs Alianza Lima?
Comerciantes Unidos won 2-1 on May 8, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 5′L. PajoyAlianza Lima
- 63′Exar Javier Rosales SánchezComerciantes Unidos (pen.)
- 90′Wilfrido Ramón Rivas MartínezComerciantes Unidos
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 14 matches in all competitions, Comerciantes Unidos have 4 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Alianza Lima have 8, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2016 | Alianza Atletico(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Apr 27, 2016 | Real Garcilaso(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Apr 24, 2016 | Union Comercio(away) | 2-3 | Primera División |
| Apr 15, 2016 | Deportivo Municipal(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Apr 1, 2016 | FBC Melgar(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2016 | U. San Martin(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| May 1, 2016 | Real Garcilaso(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Apr 27, 2016 | FBC Melgar(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Apr 24, 2016 | Sport Huancayo(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Apr 17, 2016 | Defensor LA Bocana(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
Comerciantes Unidos score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 14; Alianza Lima score 1.6 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comerciantes Unidos | 1.1 | 1.2 | 3 | 8/14 | 5/14 |
| Alianza Lima | 1.6 | 1.1 | 2 | 10/14 | 8/14 |
Over the last 14 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Comerciantes Unidos sit 9th in Primera División (21 points from 17 matches) and Alianza Lima sit 1st (40 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30 | 8 | 40 |
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30 | 8 | 40 |
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 22 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 39 | 13 | 51 |
| 2 | Alianza Lima | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 8 |
| 3 | Alianza Lima | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 11 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 20 | 21 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 20 | 21 |
| 10 | Comerciantes Unidos | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 8 |
| 11 | Comerciantes Unidos | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 5 |
| 11 | Comerciantes Unidos | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 30 | 30 | 29 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy