Real Garcilaso vs Alianza Atletico: result 3-1 and analysis
Primera DivisiónApertura - 15Kick-off on May 8, 2016 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco
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What was the result of Real Garcilaso vs Alianza Atletico?
Real Garcilaso won 3-1 on May 8, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 31′J. MariñoReal Garcilaso
- 48′Carlos Alberto Orejuela PitaReal Garcilaso
- 57′E. RetamosoReal Garcilaso
- 67′A. LópezAlianza Atletico
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 14 matches in all competitions, Real Garcilaso have 4 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Alianza Atletico have 7, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2016 | Alianza Lima(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Apr 27, 2016 | Comerciantes Unidos(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Apr 23, 2016 | Deportivo Municipal(home) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Apr 19, 2016 | FBC Melgar(away) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Apr 13, 2016 | UTC Cajamarca(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2016 | Comerciantes Unidos(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Apr 28, 2016 | Deportivo Municipal(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Apr 23, 2016 | FBC Melgar(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Apr 17, 2016 | Sport Huancayo(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Apr 2, 2016 | Defensor LA Bocana(home) | 2-2 | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
Real Garcilaso score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 14; Alianza Atletico score 1.6 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Garcilaso | 1.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/14 | 7/14 |
| Alianza Atletico | 1.6 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/14 | 10/14 |
Over the last 14 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 18 | 21 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 18 | 21 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 30 | 28 | 31 |
| 10 | Alianza Atletico | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 6 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy