FBC Riograndense RS vs EC Novo Horizonte: prediction and stats
Gaúcho - 3Regular Season - 1Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes FBC Riograndense RS the favourite at 67%, against 21% for a draw and 12% for EC Novo Horizonte. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FBC Riograndense RS vs EC Novo Horizonte?
A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate FBC Riograndense RS (1,610) and EC Novo Horizonte (1,564).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 14 matches in all competitions, FBC Riograndense RS have 5 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; EC Novo Horizonte have 0, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2025 | SC Rio Grande(away) | 1-2 | Gaúcho - 3 |
| Nov 8, 2025 | São Gabriel(home) | 8-0 | Gaúcho - 3 |
| Oct 26, 2025 | São Paulo RS(home) | 0-1 | Gaúcho - 3 |
| Oct 19, 2025 | São Paulo RS(away) | 0-0 | Gaúcho - 3 |
| Oct 12, 2025 | São Gabriel(away) | 0-0 | Gaúcho - 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2025 | Apafut(away) | 0-3 | Gaúcho - 3 |
| Oct 22, 2025 | Nova Prata(home) | 0-3 | Gaúcho - 3 |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Clube 1992(away) | 1-1 | Gaúcho - 3 |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Apafut(home) | 0-0 | Gaúcho - 3 |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Guarani RS(away) | 0-7 | Gaúcho - 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
FBC Riograndense RS score 1.4 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 14; EC Novo Horizonte score 0.2 and concede 2.8. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FBC Riograndense RS | 1.4 | 0.6 | 7 | 4/14 | 4/14 |
| EC Novo Horizonte | 0.2 | 2.8 | 1 | 1/5 | 3/5 |
Over the last 14 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FBC Riograndense RS vs EC Novo Horizonte?
- The Footlab model makes FBC Riograndense RS the favourite at 67%, against 21% for a draw and 12% for EC Novo Horizonte.
- Where and when is FBC Riograndense RS vs EC Novo Horizonte played?
- FBC Riograndense RS vs EC Novo Horizonte is played on September 5, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC), in the Gaúcho - 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.