Real vs FBC Riograndense RS: prediction and stats
Gaúcho - 3Regular Season - 2Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estádio do Real SC, Queluz
The Footlab model makes Real the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for FBC Riograndense RS. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real vs FBC Riograndense RS?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Real (1,606) and FBC Riograndense RS (1,610).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real have 0 wins, 3 draws and 12 defeats; FBC Riograndense RS have 5, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 27, 2025 | Lajeadense(away) | 0-0 | Gaúcho - 2 |
| Jul 23, 2025 | Novo Hamburgo(home) | 0-3 | Gaúcho - 2 |
| Jul 19, 2025 | Passo Fundo(home) | 1-3 | Gaúcho - 2 |
| Jul 16, 2025 | União RS(away) | 1-1 | Gaúcho - 2 |
| Jul 5, 2025 | Gramadense(home) | 0-1 | Gaúcho - 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2025 | SC Rio Grande(away) | 1-2 | Gaúcho - 3 |
| Nov 8, 2025 | São Gabriel(home) | 8-0 | Gaúcho - 3 |
| Oct 26, 2025 | São Paulo RS(home) | 0-1 | Gaúcho - 3 |
| Oct 19, 2025 | São Paulo RS(away) | 0-0 | Gaúcho - 3 |
| Oct 12, 2025 | São Gabriel(away) | 0-0 | Gaúcho - 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Real win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 FBC Riograndense RS win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2024 | FBC Riograndense RS 0-1 Real | Gaúcho - 3 |
| Nov 20, 2024 | Real 1-0 FBC Riograndense RS | Gaúcho - 3 |
Last archived meeting: FBC Riograndense RS vs Real on Nov 24, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Real score 0.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; FBC Riograndense RS score 1.4 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real | 0.3 | 1.7 | 2 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| FBC Riograndense RS | 1.4 | 0.6 | 7 | 4/14 | 4/14 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real vs FBC Riograndense RS?
- The Footlab model makes Real the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for FBC Riograndense RS.
- Where and when is Real vs FBC Riograndense RS played?
- Real vs FBC Riograndense RS is played on September 12, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio do Real SC, in the Gaúcho - 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.