Match

FC 08 Homburg vs VfR Aalen: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 34Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Waldstadion Homburg, Homburg

FC 08 HomburgVfR Aalen

The Footlab model makes FC 08 Homburg the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for VfR Aalen. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC 08 Homburg vs VfR Aalen?

A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate FC 08 Homburg (2,012) and VfR Aalen (1,969).

FC 08 Homburg win44 %
Draw24 %
VfR Aalen win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC 08 Homburg have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; VfR Aalen have 8, 5 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC 08 Homburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026SV Sandhausen(away)3-1Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 15, 2026SGV Freiberg(away)0-3Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 8, 2026FSV Mainz 05 II(home)2-1Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 1, 2026Hoffenheim II(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Reutlingen(home)4-1Friendlies Clubs
VfR Aalen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Eintracht Frankfurt II(home)0-3Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 15, 2026TSV Steinbach(away)1-1Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 9, 2026Freiburg II(home)1-1Regionalliga - SudWest
Jul 26, 2026FC Saarbrücken(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 21, 2026SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(home)2-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 FC 08 Homburg win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 VfR Aalen win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 18, 2023VfR Aalen 1-6 FC 08 HomburgRegionalliga - SudWest
Aug 6, 2023FC 08 Homburg 1-1 VfR AalenRegionalliga - SudWest
Mar 4, 2023VfR Aalen 1-3 FC 08 HomburgRegionalliga - SudWest
Aug 28, 2022FC 08 Homburg 2-0 VfR AalenRegionalliga - SudWest
Apr 2, 2022VfR Aalen 4-0 FC 08 HomburgRegionalliga - SudWest
Oct 9, 2021FC 08 Homburg 0-1 VfR AalenRegionalliga - SudWest

Last archived meeting: VfR Aalen vs FC 08 Homburg on Nov 18, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

FC 08 Homburg score 1.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; VfR Aalen score 2.2 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FC 08 Homburg1.91.6111/1511/15
VfR Aalen2.21.068/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC 08 Homburg sit 4th in Regionalliga - SudWest (6 points from 3 matches) and VfR Aalen sit 15th (2 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4FC 08 Homburg3201556
15VfR Aalen3021252

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC 08 Homburg vs VfR Aalen?
The Footlab model makes FC 08 Homburg the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for VfR Aalen.
Where and when is FC 08 Homburg vs VfR Aalen played?
FC 08 Homburg vs VfR Aalen is played on May 22, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Waldstadion Homburg, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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