FC 08 Homburg vs VfR Aalen: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 34Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Waldstadion Homburg, Homburg
The Footlab model makes FC 08 Homburg the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for VfR Aalen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC 08 Homburg vs VfR Aalen?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate FC 08 Homburg (2,012) and VfR Aalen (1,969).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC 08 Homburg have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; VfR Aalen have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SV Sandhausen(away) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | SGV Freiberg(away) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FSV Mainz 05 II(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hoffenheim II(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Reutlingen(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt II(home) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | TSV Steinbach(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Freiburg II(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Jul 26, 2026 | FC Saarbrücken(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2026 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 FC 08 Homburg win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 VfR Aalen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2023 | VfR Aalen 1-6 FC 08 Homburg | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 6, 2023 | FC 08 Homburg 1-1 VfR Aalen | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Mar 4, 2023 | VfR Aalen 1-3 FC 08 Homburg | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 28, 2022 | FC 08 Homburg 2-0 VfR Aalen | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Apr 2, 2022 | VfR Aalen 4-0 FC 08 Homburg | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Oct 9, 2021 | FC 08 Homburg 0-1 VfR Aalen | Regionalliga - SudWest |
Last archived meeting: VfR Aalen vs FC 08 Homburg on Nov 18, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
FC 08 Homburg score 1.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; VfR Aalen score 2.2 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC 08 Homburg | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| VfR Aalen | 2.2 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC 08 Homburg sit 4th in Regionalliga - SudWest (6 points from 3 matches) and VfR Aalen sit 15th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | FC 08 Homburg | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 15 | VfR Aalen | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC 08 Homburg vs VfR Aalen?
- The Footlab model makes FC 08 Homburg the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for VfR Aalen.
- Where and when is FC 08 Homburg vs VfR Aalen played?
- FC 08 Homburg vs VfR Aalen is played on May 22, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Waldstadion Homburg, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 22, 2027TSV SteinbachvsFSV Mainz 05 II
- May 22, 2027Freiburg IIvsFSV Frankfurt
- May 22, 2027Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.vsFC Astoria Walldorf
- May 22, 2027Kaiserslautern IIvsSSV Ulm 1846
- May 22, 2027SGV FreibergvsHessen Kassel
- May 22, 2027Stuttgarter KickersvsSV Sandhausen
- May 22, 2027VfR MannheimvsKickers Offenbach
- May 22, 2027Eintracht Frankfurt IIvsEintracht Trier