Match

TSV Steinbach vs FSV Mainz 05 II: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 34Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)SIBRE Sportzentrum Haarwasen Haiger, Haiger

TSV SteinbachFSV Mainz 05 II

The Footlab model makes TSV Steinbach the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for FSV Mainz 05 II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win TSV Steinbach vs FSV Mainz 05 II?

A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate TSV Steinbach (1,966) and FSV Mainz 05 II (1,915).

TSV Steinbach win43 %
Draw23 %
FSV Mainz 05 II win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, TSV Steinbach have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; FSV Mainz 05 II have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

TSV Steinbach
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Kaiserslautern II(away)0-0Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 15, 2026VfR Aalen(home)1-1Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 8, 2026SV Sandhausen(away)2-2Regionalliga - SudWest
Jul 31, 2026Fortuna Düsseldorf II(away)4-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Sportfreunde Siegen(home)2-8Friendlies Clubs
FSV Mainz 05 II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Kickers Offenbach(away)1-3Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 16, 2026FSV Frankfurt(home)2-1Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 8, 2026FC 08 Homburg(away)1-2Regionalliga - SudWest
Jul 22, 2026Kreuzlingen(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 11, 2026FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(away)3-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 TSV Steinbach win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 FSV Mainz 05 II win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 1, 2026FSV Mainz 05 II 3-1 TSV SteinbachRegionalliga - SudWest
Aug 30, 2025TSV Steinbach 1-1 FSV Mainz 05 IIRegionalliga - SudWest
Jul 26, 2025FSV Mainz 05 II 1-4 TSV SteinbachFriendlies Clubs
Mar 21, 2025FSV Mainz 05 II 0-1 TSV SteinbachRegionalliga - SudWest
Sep 14, 2024TSV Steinbach 2-1 FSV Mainz 05 IIRegionalliga - SudWest
Feb 17, 2024FSV Mainz 05 II 0-0 TSV SteinbachFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: FSV Mainz 05 II vs TSV Steinbach on Mar 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

TSV Steinbach score 2.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; FSV Mainz 05 II score 1.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
TSV Steinbach2.51.949/1511/15
FSV Mainz 05 II1.41.449/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

TSV Steinbach sit 9th in Regionalliga - SudWest (3 points from 3 matches) and FSV Mainz 05 II sit 13th (3 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9TSV Steinbach3030333
13FSV Mainz 05 II3102463

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for TSV Steinbach vs FSV Mainz 05 II?
The Footlab model makes TSV Steinbach the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for FSV Mainz 05 II.
Where and when is TSV Steinbach vs FSV Mainz 05 II played?
TSV Steinbach vs FSV Mainz 05 II is played on May 22, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at SIBRE Sportzentrum Haarwasen Haiger, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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