TSV Steinbach vs FSV Mainz 05 II: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 34Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)SIBRE Sportzentrum Haarwasen Haiger, Haiger
The Footlab model makes TSV Steinbach the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for FSV Mainz 05 II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win TSV Steinbach vs FSV Mainz 05 II?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate TSV Steinbach (1,966) and FSV Mainz 05 II (1,915).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, TSV Steinbach have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; FSV Mainz 05 II have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kaiserslautern II(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | VfR Aalen(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SV Sandhausen(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Fortuna Düsseldorf II(away) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sportfreunde Siegen(home) | 2-8 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kickers Offenbach(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 16, 2026 | FSV Frankfurt(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC 08 Homburg(away) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Kreuzlingen(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 11, 2026 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 TSV Steinbach win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 FSV Mainz 05 II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | FSV Mainz 05 II 3-1 TSV Steinbach | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 30, 2025 | TSV Steinbach 1-1 FSV Mainz 05 II | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Jul 26, 2025 | FSV Mainz 05 II 1-4 TSV Steinbach | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 21, 2025 | FSV Mainz 05 II 0-1 TSV Steinbach | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Sep 14, 2024 | TSV Steinbach 2-1 FSV Mainz 05 II | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Feb 17, 2024 | FSV Mainz 05 II 0-0 TSV Steinbach | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: FSV Mainz 05 II vs TSV Steinbach on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
TSV Steinbach score 2.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; FSV Mainz 05 II score 1.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSV Steinbach | 2.5 | 1.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| FSV Mainz 05 II | 1.4 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
TSV Steinbach sit 9th in Regionalliga - SudWest (3 points from 3 matches) and FSV Mainz 05 II sit 13th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | TSV Steinbach | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 13 | FSV Mainz 05 II | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for TSV Steinbach vs FSV Mainz 05 II?
- The Footlab model makes TSV Steinbach the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for FSV Mainz 05 II.
- Where and when is TSV Steinbach vs FSV Mainz 05 II played?
- TSV Steinbach vs FSV Mainz 05 II is played on May 22, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at SIBRE Sportzentrum Haarwasen Haiger, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 22, 2027FC 08 HomburgvsVfR Aalen
- May 22, 2027Freiburg IIvsFSV Frankfurt
- May 22, 2027Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.vsFC Astoria Walldorf
- May 22, 2027Kaiserslautern IIvsSSV Ulm 1846
- May 22, 2027SGV FreibergvsHessen Kassel
- May 22, 2027Stuttgarter KickersvsSV Sandhausen
- May 22, 2027VfR MannheimvsKickers Offenbach
- May 22, 2027Eintracht Frankfurt IIvsEintracht Trier