Where and when is FC Astoria Walldorf vs FSV Mainz 05 II played?

FC Astoria Walldorf vs FSV Mainz 05 II is played on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Dietmar-Hopp-Sportpark, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

FC Astoria Walldorf vs FSV Mainz 05 II: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 11Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Dietmar-Hopp-Sportpark, Walldorf

FC Astoria Walldorf

FSV Mainz 05 II

The Footlab model makes FSV Mainz 05 II the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for FC Astoria Walldorf. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Astoria Walldorf vs FSV Mainz 05 II?

A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate FC Astoria Walldorf (1,856) and FSV Mainz 05 II (1,915).

FC Astoria Walldorf win33 %

Draw24 %

FSV Mainz 05 II win43 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Astoria Walldorf have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; FSV Mainz 05 II have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Astoria Walldorf
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	FSV Frankfurt(away)	0-3	Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 15, 2026	Kaiserslautern II(home)	3-3	Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 8, 2026	Kickers Offenbach(away)	1-2	Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 1, 2026	Stuttgart II(away)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 17, 2026	SV Darmstadt 98(home)	1-4	Friendlies Clubs

FSV Mainz 05 II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Kickers Offenbach(away)	1-3	Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 16, 2026	FSV Frankfurt(home)	2-1	Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 8, 2026	FC 08 Homburg(away)	1-2	Regionalliga - SudWest
Jul 22, 2026	Kreuzlingen(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 11, 2026	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(away)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 FC Astoria Walldorf win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 FSV Mainz 05 II win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 14, 2026	FSV Mainz 05 II 1-1 FC Astoria Walldorf	Friendlies Clubs
Nov 22, 2025	FC Astoria Walldorf 1-2 FSV Mainz 05 II	Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 2, 2025	FSV Mainz 05 II 0-0 FC Astoria Walldorf	Regionalliga - SudWest
Mar 8, 2025	FSV Mainz 05 II 1-2 FC Astoria Walldorf	Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 31, 2024	FC Astoria Walldorf 3-2 FSV Mainz 05 II	Regionalliga - SudWest
Apr 20, 2024	FC Astoria Walldorf 4-1 FSV Mainz 05 II	Regionalliga - SudWest

Last archived meeting: FSV Mainz 05 II vs FC Astoria Walldorf on Feb 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FC Astoria Walldorf score 1.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; FSV Mainz 05 II score 1.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
FC Astoria Walldorf	1.5	2.1	2	10/15	11/15
FSV Mainz 05 II	1.4	1.4	4	9/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Astoria Walldorf sit 18th in Regionalliga - SudWest (1 points from 3 matches) and FSV Mainz 05 II sit 13th (3 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
13	FSV Mainz 05 II	3	1	0	2	4	6	3
18	FC Astoria Walldorf	3	0	1	2	4	8	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Astoria Walldorf vs FSV Mainz 05 II?: The Footlab model makes FSV Mainz 05 II the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for FC Astoria Walldorf.
Where and when is FC Astoria Walldorf vs FSV Mainz 05 II played?: FC Astoria Walldorf vs FSV Mainz 05 II is played on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Dietmar-Hopp-Sportpark, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.